**Trader consensus has converged on 30°C as the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory on June 12, 2026, producing market-implied odds of 99.9% for that outcome.** This near-certainty stems from official post-event readings across the observatory’s network, which showed peak values falling squarely in the 30°C bin (with individual stations reporting maxima around 30–31°C). June climatology for Hong Kong—hot, humid subtropical conditions with typical daytime highs near 30–31°C—provided the baseline expectation, but the decisive driver was the verified observational data released after the date. Realistic challenges to this resolution remain limited to rare post-processing revisions or measurement discrepancies at the reference station, both of which have low historical precedent for this market.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाHighest temperature in Hong Kong on June 12?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 12?
30°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$220,007 वॉल्यूम
$220,007 वॉल्यूम
12 जून, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
100%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
30°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$220,007 वॉल्यूम
$220,007 वॉल्यूम
12 जून, 2026
23°C or below
$2,740 वॉल्यूम
<1%
24°C
$806 वॉल्यूम
<1%
25°C
$1,838 वॉल्यूम
<1%
26°C
$9,169 वॉल्यूम
<1%
27°C
$20,011 वॉल्यूम
<1%
28°C
$29,030 वॉल्यूम
<1%
29°C
$25,571 वॉल्यूम
<1%
30°C
$45,010 वॉल्यूम
100%
31°C
$35,994 वॉल्यूम
<1%
32°C
$28,535 वॉल्यूम
<1%
33°C or higher
$21,303 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus has converged on 30°C as the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory on June 12, 2026, producing market-implied odds of 99.9% for that outcome.**
This near-certainty stems from official post-event readings across the observatory’s network, which showed peak values falling squarely in the 30°C bin (with individual stations reporting maxima around 30–31°C). June climatology for Hong Kong—hot, humid subtropical conditions with typical daytime highs near 30–31°C—provided the baseline expectation, but the decisive driver was the verified observational data released after the date.
Realistic challenges to this resolution remain limited to rare post-processing revisions or measurement discrepancies at the reference station, both of which have low historical precedent for this market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: Jun 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$220,007समाप्ति तिथि
12 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jun 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus has converged on 30°C as the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory on June 12, 2026, producing market-implied odds of 99.9% for that outcome.**
This near-certainty stems from official post-event readings across the observatory’s network, which showed peak values falling squarely in the 30°C bin (with individual stations reporting maxima around 30–31°C). June climatology for Hong Kong—hot, humid subtropical conditions with typical daytime highs near 30–31°C—provided the baseline expectation, but the decisive driver was the verified observational data released after the date.
Realistic challenges to this resolution remain limited to rare post-processing revisions or measurement discrepancies at the reference station, both of which have low historical precedent for this market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$220,007समाप्ति तिथि
12 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jun 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus has converged on 30°C as the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory on June 12, 2026, producing market-implied odds of 99.9% for that outcome.** This near-certainty stems from official post-event readings across the observatory’s network, which showed peak values falling squarely in the 30°C bin (with individual stations reporting maxima around 30–31°C). June climatology for Hong Kong—hot, humid subtropical conditions with typical daytime highs near 30–31°C—provided the baseline expectation, but the decisive driver was the verified observational data released after the date. Realistic challenges to this resolution remain limited to rare post-processing revisions or measurement discrepancies at the reference station, both of which have low historical precedent for this market.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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