**Trader sentiment for Manila's highest temperature on June 15, 2026, centers on 32–34°C because official PAGASA forecasts and ensemble models converge on a maximum near 33°C amid the early southwest monsoon.** PAGASA outlooks issued in mid-June project daytime highs of 33–34°C for the capital with 30–40% rain chances and partly cloudy to mostly cloudy skies, consistent with the onset of the habagat that increases cloud cover and scattered afternoon thunderstorms. These conditions limit solar heating compared with drier pre-monsoon periods. Recent observations show Manila-area maxima of 33–34°C on June 13–14, aligning with climatological June averages of roughly 32°C. Longer-range guidance from AccuWeather and other models reinforces this narrow band, with only modest upside risk if convective activity is delayed. The market-implied distribution therefore reflects the high-confidence consensus from government monitoring agencies that temperatures are unlikely to deviate far from the seasonal norm on the target day.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया15 जून को मनीला में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
33°C 45%
32°C 24%
34°C 22%
35°C 4.8%
28°C या इससे कम
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
24%
33°C
45%
34°C
22%
35°C
5%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
33°C 45%
32°C 24%
34°C 22%
35°C 4.8%
28°C या इससे कम
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
24%
33°C
45%
34°C
22%
35°C
5%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Jun 13, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Manila's highest temperature on June 15, 2026, centers on 32–34°C because official PAGASA forecasts and ensemble models converge on a maximum near 33°C amid the early southwest monsoon.** PAGASA outlooks issued in mid-June project daytime highs of 33–34°C for the capital with 30–40% rain chances and partly cloudy to mostly cloudy skies, consistent with the onset of the habagat that increases cloud cover and scattered afternoon thunderstorms. These conditions limit solar heating compared with drier pre-monsoon periods. Recent observations show Manila-area maxima of 33–34°C on June 13–14, aligning with climatological June averages of roughly 32°C. Longer-range guidance from AccuWeather and other models reinforces this narrow band, with only modest upside risk if convective activity is delayed. The market-implied distribution therefore reflects the high-confidence consensus from government monitoring agencies that temperatures are unlikely to deviate far from the seasonal norm on the target day.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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