Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and numerical models show a modest high in New York City today driven by onshore flow, partial cloud cover, and a stable air mass that has limited daytime heating. Official guidance centers the maximum temperature near 76–77 °F at key reporting sites such as LaGuardia and Central Park, aligning with the market’s 97.9 % implied probability for that bin. This consensus reflects recent model runs that have converged on limited mixing and a sea-breeze influence keeping readings below seasonal normals. Only a sharp, unexpected clearing or stronger southerly advection could push readings into the upper 70s, an outcome the latest observations make unlikely before sunset.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in NYC on June 17?
76-77°F 98.3%
78-79°F 1.0%
80-81°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
$85,426 Wol.
$85,426 Wol.
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
98%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 98.3%
78-79°F 1.0%
80-81°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
$85,426 Wol.
$85,426 Wol.
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
98%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 15, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and numerical models show a modest high in New York City today driven by onshore flow, partial cloud cover, and a stable air mass that has limited daytime heating. Official guidance centers the maximum temperature near 76–77 °F at key reporting sites such as LaGuardia and Central Park, aligning with the market’s 97.9 % implied probability for that bin. This consensus reflects recent model runs that have converged on limited mixing and a sea-breeze influence keeping readings below seasonal normals. Only a sharp, unexpected clearing or stronger southerly advection could push readings into the upper 70s, an outcome the latest observations make unlikely before sunset.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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