Persistent marine stratus and onshore flow from the Pacific high, typical of June gloom in the San Francisco Bay Area, are capping daytime highs near or slightly below the 67°F seasonal average at KSFO. National Weather Service guidance points to a high around 68°F with lingering low clouds and westerly winds of 10-20 mph limiting solar heating. Trader consensus favoring 70-73°F brackets reflects uncertainty over afternoon clearing timing and minor model spreads in boundary-layer mixing, while lower bins price in thicker fog or stronger upwelling. Historical analogs show June highs rarely exceed 72°F without offshore flow, keeping probabilities tightly clustered across the 68-73°F range until final observations resolve the market.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in San Francisco on June 17?
70-71°F 60%
72-73°F 27%
68-69°F 9%
74-75°F 4.3%
$66,353 Wol.
$66,353 Wol.
63°F or below
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
21%
70-71°F
41%
72-73°F
27%
74-75°F
4%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F or higher
<1%
70-71°F 60%
72-73°F 27%
68-69°F 9%
74-75°F 4.3%
$66,353 Wol.
$66,353 Wol.
63°F or below
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
21%
70-71°F
41%
72-73°F
27%
74-75°F
4%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 15, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent marine stratus and onshore flow from the Pacific high, typical of June gloom in the San Francisco Bay Area, are capping daytime highs near or slightly below the 67°F seasonal average at KSFO. National Weather Service guidance points to a high around 68°F with lingering low clouds and westerly winds of 10-20 mph limiting solar heating. Trader consensus favoring 70-73°F brackets reflects uncertainty over afternoon clearing timing and minor model spreads in boundary-layer mixing, while lower bins price in thicker fog or stronger upwelling. Historical analogs show June highs rarely exceed 72°F without offshore flow, keeping probabilities tightly clustered across the 68-73°F range until final observations resolve the market.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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