Trader sentiment centers on short-range forecast guidance placing Tokyo's June 18 maximum near 25–27 °C, with 26 °C holding the clearest plurality amid the rainy-season transition. Seasonal norms and JMA outlooks for above-average early-summer temperatures provide the baseline, while recent model runs show modest spread driven by variable cloud cover, possible scattered showers, and steering flow around the Pacific high. Lower outcomes gain support if stronger onshore flow or heavier precipitation materializes; higher readings remain possible under clearer skies or enhanced urban heat retention. The broad distribution underscores typical two-day forecast uncertainty in humidity and insolation during the tsuyu period.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Tokyo on June 18?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on June 18?
26°C 34%
25°C 22%
27°C 16%
24°C 12%
NOWE
NOWE
Jun 18, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
4%
24°C
12%
25°C
22%
26°C
34%
27°C
16%
28°C
7%
29°C
5%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 34%
25°C 22%
27°C 16%
24°C 12%
NOWE
NOWE
Jun 18, 2026
21°C or below
$232 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$28 Wol.
1%
23°C
$23 Wol.
4%
24°C
$44 Wol.
12%
25°C
$6 Wol.
22%
26°C
$17 Wol.
34%
27°C
$42 Wol.
16%
28°C
$1 Wol.
7%
29°C
$296 Wol.
5%
30°C
$27 Wol.
1%
31°C or higher
$11 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment centers on short-range forecast guidance placing Tokyo's June 18 maximum near 25–27 °C, with 26 °C holding the clearest plurality amid the rainy-season transition. Seasonal norms and JMA outlooks for above-average early-summer temperatures provide the baseline, while recent model runs show modest spread driven by variable cloud cover, possible scattered showers, and steering flow around the Pacific high. Lower outcomes gain support if stronger onshore flow or heavier precipitation materializes; higher readings remain possible under clearer skies or enhanced urban heat retention. The broad distribution underscores typical two-day forecast uncertainty in humidity and insolation during the tsuyu period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 16, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Wolumen
$708Data zakończenia
Jun 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 16, 2026, 12:18 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment centers on short-range forecast guidance placing Tokyo's June 18 maximum near 25–27 °C, with 26 °C holding the clearest plurality amid the rainy-season transition. Seasonal norms and JMA outlooks for above-average early-summer temperatures provide the baseline, while recent model runs show modest spread driven by variable cloud cover, possible scattered showers, and steering flow around the Pacific high. Lower outcomes gain support if stronger onshore flow or heavier precipitation materializes; higher readings remain possible under clearer skies or enhanced urban heat retention. The broad distribution underscores typical two-day forecast uncertainty in humidity and insolation during the tsuyu period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$708Data zakończenia
Jun 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 16, 2026, 12:18 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment centers on short-range forecast guidance placing Tokyo's June 18 maximum near 25–27 °C, with 26 °C holding the clearest plurality amid the rainy-season transition. Seasonal norms and JMA outlooks for above-average early-summer temperatures provide the baseline, while recent model runs show modest spread driven by variable cloud cover, possible scattered showers, and steering flow around the Pacific high. Lower outcomes gain support if stronger onshore flow or heavier precipitation materializes; higher readings remain possible under clearer skies or enhanced urban heat retention. The broad distribution underscores typical two-day forecast uncertainty in humidity and insolation during the tsuyu period.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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