Recent Hong Kong Observatory guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a monsoon trough will bring periods of cloud cover and showers to the region on June 16, moderating daytime heating and anchoring the expected maximum near 28–29 °C. High humidity, typical of early summer, will support scattered thunderstorms that can locally suppress temperatures, while breaks of sun could allow brief spikes. These factors create tight clustering in trader probabilities between 28 °C and 29 °C. Updated short-range forecasts and radar trends over the next 48 hours will be the main catalysts for any shifts in implied odds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Hong Kong on June 16?
29°C 32%
28°C 28%
30°C 19%
27°C 16%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
16%
28°C
28%
29°C
32%
30°C
19%
31°C
7%
32°C
2%
33°C or higher
<1%
29°C 32%
28°C 28%
30°C 19%
27°C 16%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
16%
28°C
28%
29°C
32%
30°C
19%
31°C
7%
32°C
2%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Hong Kong Observatory guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a monsoon trough will bring periods of cloud cover and showers to the region on June 16, moderating daytime heating and anchoring the expected maximum near 28–29 °C. High humidity, typical of early summer, will support scattered thunderstorms that can locally suppress temperatures, while breaks of sun could allow brief spikes. These factors create tight clustering in trader probabilities between 28 °C and 29 °C. Updated short-range forecasts and radar trends over the next 48 hours will be the main catalysts for any shifts in implied odds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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