Current forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international models converge on a daily maximum of 33°C in Chengdu for June 14, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and typical early-summer steering patterns that suppress stronger solar heating. This aligns with climatological baselines showing mid-June highs averaging near 29–30°C, with limited recent model runs indicating any significant deviation. The near-certain market-implied odds reflect strong consensus around these conditions and the resolution criteria tied to official station readings. Unexpected afternoon clearing or a sharper-than-expected ridge could push readings to 34°C or higher, while heavier precipitation or cooler advection might cap the peak at 32°C or below, though both remain low-probability outcomes given the latest guidance.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Chengdu on June 14?
33°C 99.3%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
36°C <1%
$51,472 Wol.
$51,472 Wol.
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
99%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
33°C 99.3%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
36°C <1%
$51,472 Wol.
$51,472 Wol.
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
99%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 12, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international models converge on a daily maximum of 33°C in Chengdu for June 14, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and typical early-summer steering patterns that suppress stronger solar heating. This aligns with climatological baselines showing mid-June highs averaging near 29–30°C, with limited recent model runs indicating any significant deviation. The near-certain market-implied odds reflect strong consensus around these conditions and the resolution criteria tied to official station readings. Unexpected afternoon clearing or a sharper-than-expected ridge could push readings to 34°C or higher, while heavier precipitation or cooler advection might cap the peak at 32°C or below, though both remain low-probability outcomes given the latest guidance.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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