Current forecast models from sources including the UK Met Office and timeanddate point to a daytime maximum near 30–32°C in Chengdu on June 15 under cloudy skies, with limited sunshine and possible light rain suppressing further warming in this subtropical monsoon climate. These conditions align with typical mid-June climatology, where average highs hover around 29–31°C before peak summer heat builds later in the month. The market’s heavy weighting toward 31°C or below (over 60%) reflects this consensus, while slim odds above 33°C account for model uncertainty in cloud cover or brief clearing. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration over the next 24 hours will be the key near-term driver for any shifts in implied probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Chengdu on June 15?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on June 15?
31°C or below 62%
32°C 22%
33°C 8%
34°C 5.0%
NOWE
$13,641 Wol.
NOWE
$13,641 Wol.
Jun 15, 2026
31°C or below
62%
32°C
22%
33°C
8%
34°C
5%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
31°C or below 62%
32°C 22%
33°C 8%
34°C 5.0%
NOWE
$13,641 Wol.
NOWE
$13,641 Wol.
Jun 15, 2026
31°C or below
$3,862 Wol.
62%
32°C
$1,228 Wol.
22%
33°C
$825 Wol.
8%
34°C
$1,012 Wol.
5%
35°C
$1,962 Wol.
1%
36°C
$1,591 Wol.
<1%
37°C
$1,108 Wol.
<1%
38°C
$647 Wol.
<1%
39°C
$525 Wol.
<1%
40°C
$548 Wol.
<1%
41°C or higher
$442 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including the UK Met Office and timeanddate point to a daytime maximum near 30–32°C in Chengdu on June 15 under cloudy skies, with limited sunshine and possible light rain suppressing further warming in this subtropical monsoon climate. These conditions align with typical mid-June climatology, where average highs hover around 29–31°C before peak summer heat builds later in the month. The market’s heavy weighting toward 31°C or below (over 60%) reflects this consensus, while slim odds above 33°C account for model uncertainty in cloud cover or brief clearing. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration over the next 24 hours will be the key near-term driver for any shifts in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 13, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Wolumen
$13,641Data zakończenia
Jun 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 13, 2026, 12:11 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including the UK Met Office and timeanddate point to a daytime maximum near 30–32°C in Chengdu on June 15 under cloudy skies, with limited sunshine and possible light rain suppressing further warming in this subtropical monsoon climate. These conditions align with typical mid-June climatology, where average highs hover around 29–31°C before peak summer heat builds later in the month. The market’s heavy weighting toward 31°C or below (over 60%) reflects this consensus, while slim odds above 33°C account for model uncertainty in cloud cover or brief clearing. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration over the next 24 hours will be the key near-term driver for any shifts in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$13,641Data zakończenia
Jun 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 13, 2026, 12:11 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources including the UK Met Office and timeanddate point to a daytime maximum near 30–32°C in Chengdu on June 15 under cloudy skies, with limited sunshine and possible light rain suppressing further warming in this subtropical monsoon climate. These conditions align with typical mid-June climatology, where average highs hover around 29–31°C before peak summer heat builds later in the month. The market’s heavy weighting toward 31°C or below (over 60%) reflects this consensus, while slim odds above 33°C account for model uncertainty in cloud cover or brief clearing. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration over the next 24 hours will be the key near-term driver for any shifts in implied probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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