Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a daily maximum of 26°C in Tokyo on June 14, driving the near-certain market-implied odds for that exact outcome. Current atmospheric conditions, including stable high pressure and limited moisture, support this peak under typical early-summer patterns, consistent with historical June averages around 25–27°C. Recent model runs show minimal spread, with no significant frontal systems or urban heat island amplification expected to push readings higher or lower. A late-afternoon sea breeze or unforecast convective cooling could still alter the final verified high by 1°C, though such shifts appear unlikely given the tight consensus.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Tokyo on June 14?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on June 14?
26°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$87,396 Wol.
$87,396 Wol.
Jun 14, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$87,396 Wol.
$87,396 Wol.
Jun 14, 2026
21°C or below
$431 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$421 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$4,873 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$6,546 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$11,622 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$21,817 Wol.
100%
27°C
$9,915 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$12,036 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$7,193 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$9,296 Wol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$3,271 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a daily maximum of 26°C in Tokyo on June 14, driving the near-certain market-implied odds for that exact outcome. Current atmospheric conditions, including stable high pressure and limited moisture, support this peak under typical early-summer patterns, consistent with historical June averages around 25–27°C. Recent model runs show minimal spread, with no significant frontal systems or urban heat island amplification expected to push readings higher or lower. A late-afternoon sea breeze or unforecast convective cooling could still alter the final verified high by 1°C, though such shifts appear unlikely given the tight consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Wolumen
$87,396Data zakończenia
Jun 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a daily maximum of 26°C in Tokyo on June 14, driving the near-certain market-implied odds for that exact outcome. Current atmospheric conditions, including stable high pressure and limited moisture, support this peak under typical early-summer patterns, consistent with historical June averages around 25–27°C. Recent model runs show minimal spread, with no significant frontal systems or urban heat island amplification expected to push readings higher or lower. A late-afternoon sea breeze or unforecast convective cooling could still alter the final verified high by 1°C, though such shifts appear unlikely given the tight consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$87,396Data zakończenia
Jun 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a daily maximum of 26°C in Tokyo on June 14, driving the near-certain market-implied odds for that exact outcome. Current atmospheric conditions, including stable high pressure and limited moisture, support this peak under typical early-summer patterns, consistent with historical June averages around 25–27°C. Recent model runs show minimal spread, with no significant frontal systems or urban heat island amplification expected to push readings higher or lower. A late-afternoon sea breeze or unforecast convective cooling could still alter the final verified high by 1°C, though such shifts appear unlikely given the tight consensus.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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