Current short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and global models project mostly sunny conditions over Seoul on June 16 with afternoon highs of 30–33 °C driven by high pressure and southerly flow. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around this range, though exact peak timing and urban heat-island effects introduce modest uncertainty in the official maximum. These conditions, occurring amid early-summer warming before the typical monsoon onset, explain why market-implied probabilities cluster on 28–30 °C while assigning low odds to values below 27 °C or above 31 °C. Updated model runs and KMA briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the consensus ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Seoul on June 16?
Highest temperature in Seoul on June 16?
28°C 36%
29°C 22%
27°C 17%
30°C 15%
NOWE
NOWE
Jun 16, 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
7%
27°C
17%
28°C
36%
29°C
22%
30°C
15%
31°C
3%
32°C or higher
2%
28°C 36%
29°C 22%
27°C 17%
30°C 15%
NOWE
NOWE
Jun 16, 2026
22°C or below
$5 Wol.
1%
23°C
$170 Wol.
1%
24°C
$475 Wol.
1%
25°C
$108 Wol.
2%
26°C
$545 Wol.
7%
27°C
$359 Wol.
17%
28°C
$201 Wol.
36%
29°C
$417 Wol.
22%
30°C
$161 Wol.
15%
31°C
$29 Wol.
3%
32°C or higher
$120 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and global models project mostly sunny conditions over Seoul on June 16 with afternoon highs of 30–33 °C driven by high pressure and southerly flow. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around this range, though exact peak timing and urban heat-island effects introduce modest uncertainty in the official maximum. These conditions, occurring amid early-summer warming before the typical monsoon onset, explain why market-implied probabilities cluster on 28–30 °C while assigning low odds to values below 27 °C or above 31 °C. Updated model runs and KMA briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the consensus ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 14, 2026, 12:16 AM ET
Wolumen
$2,400Data zakończenia
Jun 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 14, 2026, 12:16 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and global models project mostly sunny conditions over Seoul on June 16 with afternoon highs of 30–33 °C driven by high pressure and southerly flow. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around this range, though exact peak timing and urban heat-island effects introduce modest uncertainty in the official maximum. These conditions, occurring amid early-summer warming before the typical monsoon onset, explain why market-implied probabilities cluster on 28–30 °C while assigning low odds to values below 27 °C or above 31 °C. Updated model runs and KMA briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the consensus ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$2,400Data zakończenia
Jun 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 14, 2026, 12:16 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and global models project mostly sunny conditions over Seoul on June 16 with afternoon highs of 30–33 °C driven by high pressure and southerly flow. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around this range, though exact peak timing and urban heat-island effects introduce modest uncertainty in the official maximum. These conditions, occurring amid early-summer warming before the typical monsoon onset, explain why market-implied probabilities cluster on 28–30 °C while assigning low odds to values below 27 °C or above 31 °C. Updated model runs and KMA briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the consensus ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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