National Weather Service forecasts for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport station converged on a daily maximum of 82–83°F for June 13, 2026, anchoring the 99.5% market-implied probability for that narrow band. This outcome aligns with late-spring climatology under a building high-pressure ridge that promoted clear skies, light winds, and efficient daytime heating across the Puget Sound lowlands without triggering marine-layer moderation. Model runs showed minimal spread in maximum temperature guidance, with ensemble means stabilizing near 82°F and limited upside risk from downslope warming or reduced cloud cover. Scenarios that could have challenged the consensus include an unexpected strengthening of onshore flow or a timing shift in the ridge axis that lowered the high into the upper 70s, though neither materialized in the final observational data.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Seattle on June 13?
Highest temperature in Seattle on June 13?
82-83°F 99.5%
84-85°F <1%
86°F or higher <1%
67°F or below <1%
$56,603 Wol.
$56,603 Wol.
Jun 13, 2026
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
100%
84-85°F
1%
86°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 99.5%
84-85°F <1%
86°F or higher <1%
67°F or below <1%
$56,603 Wol.
$56,603 Wol.
Jun 13, 2026
67°F or below
$1,174 Wol.
<1%
68-69°F
$678 Wol.
<1%
70-71°F
$1,514 Wol.
<1%
72-73°F
$6,812 Wol.
<1%
74-75°F
$3,189 Wol.
<1%
76-77°F
$4,671 Wol.
<1%
78-79°F
$4,581 Wol.
<1%
80-81°F
$6,229 Wol.
<1%
82-83°F
$7,113 Wol.
100%
84-85°F
$9,548 Wol.
1%
86°F or higher
$12,565 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport station converged on a daily maximum of 82–83°F for June 13, 2026, anchoring the 99.5% market-implied probability for that narrow band. This outcome aligns with late-spring climatology under a building high-pressure ridge that promoted clear skies, light winds, and efficient daytime heating across the Puget Sound lowlands without triggering marine-layer moderation. Model runs showed minimal spread in maximum temperature guidance, with ensemble means stabilizing near 82°F and limited upside risk from downslope warming or reduced cloud cover. Scenarios that could have challenged the consensus include an unexpected strengthening of onshore flow or a timing shift in the ridge axis that lowered the high into the upper 70s, though neither materialized in the final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 11, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Wolumen
$56,603Data zakończenia
Jun 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 11, 2026, 9:03 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport station converged on a daily maximum of 82–83°F for June 13, 2026, anchoring the 99.5% market-implied probability for that narrow band. This outcome aligns with late-spring climatology under a building high-pressure ridge that promoted clear skies, light winds, and efficient daytime heating across the Puget Sound lowlands without triggering marine-layer moderation. Model runs showed minimal spread in maximum temperature guidance, with ensemble means stabilizing near 82°F and limited upside risk from downslope warming or reduced cloud cover. Scenarios that could have challenged the consensus include an unexpected strengthening of onshore flow or a timing shift in the ridge axis that lowered the high into the upper 70s, though neither materialized in the final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$56,603Data zakończenia
Jun 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 11, 2026, 9:03 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport station converged on a daily maximum of 82–83°F for June 13, 2026, anchoring the 99.5% market-implied probability for that narrow band. This outcome aligns with late-spring climatology under a building high-pressure ridge that promoted clear skies, light winds, and efficient daytime heating across the Puget Sound lowlands without triggering marine-layer moderation. Model runs showed minimal spread in maximum temperature guidance, with ensemble means stabilizing near 82°F and limited upside risk from downslope warming or reduced cloud cover. Scenarios that could have challenged the consensus include an unexpected strengthening of onshore flow or a timing shift in the ridge axis that lowered the high into the upper 70s, though neither materialized in the final observational data.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania