Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance and multi-model consensus forecast a June 15 minimum near 26°C within a 26–29°C daily range under mostly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and an easterly to southerly airstream. Persistent cloud cover and high humidity (80–95%) limit overnight radiative cooling, anchoring lows close to the June climatological average of 26–27°C rather than allowing sharper drops. This positions 26°C as the market leader at 47% implied probability, with 25°C and 27°C as the next most likely outcomes given typical forecast uncertainty ranges. No major model shifts or atypical airstream changes have emerged in recent updates to alter the core outlook.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Hong Kong on June 15?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on June 15?
26°C 47%
25°C 26%
27°C 24%
28°C 7.0%
NOWE
NOWE
Jun 15, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
5%
25°C
26%
26°C
47%
27°C
24%
28°C
7%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 47%
25°C 26%
27°C 24%
28°C 7.0%
NOWE
NOWE
Jun 15, 2026
22°C or below
$13 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$240 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$132 Wol.
5%
25°C
$109 Wol.
26%
26°C
$70 Wol.
47%
27°C
$60 Wol.
24%
28°C
$166 Wol.
7%
29°C
$120 Wol.
1%
30°C
$407 Wol.
<1%
31°C
$150 Wol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$405 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance and multi-model consensus forecast a June 15 minimum near 26°C within a 26–29°C daily range under mostly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and an easterly to southerly airstream. Persistent cloud cover and high humidity (80–95%) limit overnight radiative cooling, anchoring lows close to the June climatological average of 26–27°C rather than allowing sharper drops. This positions 26°C as the market leader at 47% implied probability, with 25°C and 27°C as the next most likely outcomes given typical forecast uncertainty ranges. No major model shifts or atypical airstream changes have emerged in recent updates to alter the core outlook.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 13, 2026, 12:33 AM ET
Wolumen
$1,845Data zakończenia
Jun 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 13, 2026, 12:33 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance and multi-model consensus forecast a June 15 minimum near 26°C within a 26–29°C daily range under mostly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and an easterly to southerly airstream. Persistent cloud cover and high humidity (80–95%) limit overnight radiative cooling, anchoring lows close to the June climatological average of 26–27°C rather than allowing sharper drops. This positions 26°C as the market leader at 47% implied probability, with 25°C and 27°C as the next most likely outcomes given typical forecast uncertainty ranges. No major model shifts or atypical airstream changes have emerged in recent updates to alter the core outlook.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$1,845Data zakończenia
Jun 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 13, 2026, 12:33 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance and multi-model consensus forecast a June 15 minimum near 26°C within a 26–29°C daily range under mostly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and an easterly to southerly airstream. Persistent cloud cover and high humidity (80–95%) limit overnight radiative cooling, anchoring lows close to the June climatological average of 26–27°C rather than allowing sharper drops. This positions 26°C as the market leader at 47% implied probability, with 25°C and 27°C as the next most likely outcomes given typical forecast uncertainty ranges. No major model shifts or atypical airstream changes have emerged in recent updates to alter the core outlook.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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