**Trader consensus heavily favors 31°C as Shenzhen’s highest temperature on June 14, reflecting model agreement and typical mid-June climatology.** In Shenzhen’s humid subtropical monsoon climate, daytime highs normally reach 30–32°C during this period, driven by strong solar heating, southerly monsoon flow, and high humidity that limits nocturnal cooling. Current forecasts from multiple agencies show afternoon maxima near 30–31°C (87°F) under partly cloudy skies with scattered thundershowers, consistent with the market-implied odds. The near-certainty stems from stable atmospheric conditions and the absence of extreme heat or cooling events. Only a significant, unexpected shift—such as prolonged clear skies boosting insolation or an unforecast cold front—could realistically push the high outside the narrow 30–32°C band.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Shenzhen on June 14?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on June 14?
31°C 99.5%
32°C <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$92,045 Wol.
$92,045 Wol.
Jun 14, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
31°C 99.5%
32°C <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$92,045 Wol.
$92,045 Wol.
Jun 14, 2026
24°C or below
$440 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$1,414 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$7,970 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$16,571 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$12,650 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$11,880 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$16,197 Wol.
<1%
31°C
$10,775 Wol.
100%
32°C
$6,936 Wol.
<1%
33°C
$6,376 Wol.
<1%
34°C or higher
$6,745 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors 31°C as Shenzhen’s highest temperature on June 14, reflecting model agreement and typical mid-June climatology.** In Shenzhen’s humid subtropical monsoon climate, daytime highs normally reach 30–32°C during this period, driven by strong solar heating, southerly monsoon flow, and high humidity that limits nocturnal cooling. Current forecasts from multiple agencies show afternoon maxima near 30–31°C (87°F) under partly cloudy skies with scattered thundershowers, consistent with the market-implied odds. The near-certainty stems from stable atmospheric conditions and the absence of extreme heat or cooling events. Only a significant, unexpected shift—such as prolonged clear skies boosting insolation or an unforecast cold front—could realistically push the high outside the narrow 30–32°C band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Wolumen
$92,045Data zakończenia
Jun 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors 31°C as Shenzhen’s highest temperature on June 14, reflecting model agreement and typical mid-June climatology.** In Shenzhen’s humid subtropical monsoon climate, daytime highs normally reach 30–32°C during this period, driven by strong solar heating, southerly monsoon flow, and high humidity that limits nocturnal cooling. Current forecasts from multiple agencies show afternoon maxima near 30–31°C (87°F) under partly cloudy skies with scattered thundershowers, consistent with the market-implied odds. The near-certainty stems from stable atmospheric conditions and the absence of extreme heat or cooling events. Only a significant, unexpected shift—such as prolonged clear skies boosting insolation or an unforecast cold front—could realistically push the high outside the narrow 30–32°C band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$92,045Data zakończenia
Jun 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus heavily favors 31°C as Shenzhen’s highest temperature on June 14, reflecting model agreement and typical mid-June climatology.** In Shenzhen’s humid subtropical monsoon climate, daytime highs normally reach 30–32°C during this period, driven by strong solar heating, southerly monsoon flow, and high humidity that limits nocturnal cooling. Current forecasts from multiple agencies show afternoon maxima near 30–31°C (87°F) under partly cloudy skies with scattered thundershowers, consistent with the market-implied odds. The near-certainty stems from stable atmospheric conditions and the absence of extreme heat or cooling events. Only a significant, unexpected shift—such as prolonged clear skies boosting insolation or an unforecast cold front—could realistically push the high outside the narrow 30–32°C band.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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