Latest ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF place London’s June 16 minimum near 14–15 °C, driving the 46 % and 26.5 % market shares on those outcomes. A building Atlantic ridge is suppressing strong cold advection while allowing modest radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies, keeping temperatures close to the June climatological average low of roughly 12–14 °C. Recent model runs show limited spread, with only modest sensitivity to small changes in cloud cover or wind speed; drier, clearer conditions could briefly dip toward 13 °C, while any increase in moisture or southerly flow would favor 16 °C. Updated guidance expected within 24–48 hours will further refine these probabilities ahead of the 16th.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in London on June 16?
Lowest temperature in London on June 16?
15°C 39%
14°C 31%
16°C 21%
13°C 5.5%
NOWE
NOWE
Jun 16, 2026
11°C or below
1%
12°C
3%
13°C
5%
14°C
31%
15°C
45%
16°C
21%
17°C
4%
18°C
3%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C or higher
<1%
15°C 39%
14°C 31%
16°C 21%
13°C 5.5%
NOWE
NOWE
Jun 16, 2026
11°C or below
$15 Wol.
1%
12°C
$0 Wol.
3%
13°C
$135 Wol.
5%
14°C
$29 Wol.
31%
15°C
$27 Wol.
45%
16°C
$110 Wol.
21%
17°C
$17 Wol.
4%
18°C
$0 Wol.
3%
19°C
$15 Wol.
1%
20°C
$15 Wol.
1%
21°C or higher
$222 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF place London’s June 16 minimum near 14–15 °C, driving the 46 % and 26.5 % market shares on those outcomes. A building Atlantic ridge is suppressing strong cold advection while allowing modest radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies, keeping temperatures close to the June climatological average low of roughly 12–14 °C. Recent model runs show limited spread, with only modest sensitivity to small changes in cloud cover or wind speed; drier, clearer conditions could briefly dip toward 13 °C, while any increase in moisture or southerly flow would favor 16 °C. Updated guidance expected within 24–48 hours will further refine these probabilities ahead of the 16th.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Wolumen
$485Data zakończenia
Jun 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF place London’s June 16 minimum near 14–15 °C, driving the 46 % and 26.5 % market shares on those outcomes. A building Atlantic ridge is suppressing strong cold advection while allowing modest radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies, keeping temperatures close to the June climatological average low of roughly 12–14 °C. Recent model runs show limited spread, with only modest sensitivity to small changes in cloud cover or wind speed; drier, clearer conditions could briefly dip toward 13 °C, while any increase in moisture or southerly flow would favor 16 °C. Updated guidance expected within 24–48 hours will further refine these probabilities ahead of the 16th.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$485Data zakończenia
Jun 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF place London’s June 16 minimum near 14–15 °C, driving the 46 % and 26.5 % market shares on those outcomes. A building Atlantic ridge is suppressing strong cold advection while allowing modest radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies, keeping temperatures close to the June climatological average low of roughly 12–14 °C. Recent model runs show limited spread, with only modest sensitivity to small changes in cloud cover or wind speed; drier, clearer conditions could briefly dip toward 13 °C, while any increase in moisture or southerly flow would favor 16 °C. Updated guidance expected within 24–48 hours will further refine these probabilities ahead of the 16th.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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