Weather forecast models from European agencies show strong consensus for a daily maximum of 33–34°C in Madrid on June 14 under mostly sunny, stable high-pressure conditions typical of mid-June, positioning these outcomes as market leaders with combined implied probability near 77%. Subtropical ridge influence, peak solar insolation near the summer solstice, and Madrid’s urban heat island effect support temperatures in this range, consistent with climatological averages for the date. Minor model spreads around afternoon cloud development or boundary-layer mixing introduce modest uncertainty, keeping the 35°C bin at 19.5% while colder or hotter extremes remain below 5% and 2% respectively. Updated model runs through the morning will provide the next key data point for traders.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Madrid on June 14?
Highest temperature in Madrid on June 14?
34°C 48%
33°C 30%
35°C 20%
32°C 4.3%
$31,154 Wol.
$31,154 Wol.
Jun 14, 2026
31°C or below
1%
32°C
4%
33°C
30%
34°C
48%
35°C
20%
36°C
2%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
34°C 48%
33°C 30%
35°C 20%
32°C 4.3%
$31,154 Wol.
$31,154 Wol.
Jun 14, 2026
31°C or below
$3,231 Wol.
1%
32°C
$4,848 Wol.
4%
33°C
$5,039 Wol.
30%
34°C
$4,170 Wol.
48%
35°C
$5,631 Wol.
20%
36°C
$5,655 Wol.
2%
37°C
$1,843 Wol.
<1%
38°C
$766 Wol.
<1%
39°C
$564 Wol.
<1%
40°C
$422 Wol.
<1%
41°C or higher
$417 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Weather forecast models from European agencies show strong consensus for a daily maximum of 33–34°C in Madrid on June 14 under mostly sunny, stable high-pressure conditions typical of mid-June, positioning these outcomes as market leaders with combined implied probability near 77%. Subtropical ridge influence, peak solar insolation near the summer solstice, and Madrid’s urban heat island effect support temperatures in this range, consistent with climatological averages for the date. Minor model spreads around afternoon cloud development or boundary-layer mixing introduce modest uncertainty, keeping the 35°C bin at 19.5% while colder or hotter extremes remain below 5% and 2% respectively. Updated model runs through the morning will provide the next key data point for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Wolumen
$31,154Data zakończenia
Jun 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Weather forecast models from European agencies show strong consensus for a daily maximum of 33–34°C in Madrid on June 14 under mostly sunny, stable high-pressure conditions typical of mid-June, positioning these outcomes as market leaders with combined implied probability near 77%. Subtropical ridge influence, peak solar insolation near the summer solstice, and Madrid’s urban heat island effect support temperatures in this range, consistent with climatological averages for the date. Minor model spreads around afternoon cloud development or boundary-layer mixing introduce modest uncertainty, keeping the 35°C bin at 19.5% while colder or hotter extremes remain below 5% and 2% respectively. Updated model runs through the morning will provide the next key data point for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$31,154Data zakończenia
Jun 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Weather forecast models from European agencies show strong consensus for a daily maximum of 33–34°C in Madrid on June 14 under mostly sunny, stable high-pressure conditions typical of mid-June, positioning these outcomes as market leaders with combined implied probability near 77%. Subtropical ridge influence, peak solar insolation near the summer solstice, and Madrid’s urban heat island effect support temperatures in this range, consistent with climatological averages for the date. Minor model spreads around afternoon cloud development or boundary-layer mixing introduce modest uncertainty, keeping the 35°C bin at 19.5% while colder or hotter extremes remain below 5% and 2% respectively. Updated model runs through the morning will provide the next key data point for traders.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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