**Persistent cloud cover, rain, and monsoon influences are capping Shanghai's peak temperature near 22–23°C on June 14, 2026.** Official forecasts from sources including timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate a high around 24°C (76°F) under overcast skies and showers, consistent with the East Asian summer monsoon (meiyu/plum rain) season that brings widespread cloudiness and reduced insolation. These conditions limit surface heating despite seasonal norms closer to 27–28°C, with high humidity, light southerly winds, and precipitation further moderating daytime maxima. Trader consensus heavily favors 22°C (83.5% implied probability) and 23°C (16.5%), reflecting recent model runs and observational trends showing temperatures tracking the cooler side of guidance. Upcoming official daily maximum reports from the China Meteorological Administration will resolve the market, with any late-day clearing potentially allowing a brief push toward 23°C but unlikely to exceed it given the entrenched moisture and cloud deck. Historical June data shows similar suppressed highs during active monsoon periods.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Shanghai on June 14?
22°C 83.6%
23°C 16%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$157,054 Wol.
$157,054 Wol.
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
84%
23°C
16%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
22°C 83.6%
23°C 16%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$157,054 Wol.
$157,054 Wol.
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
84%
23°C
16%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent cloud cover, rain, and monsoon influences are capping Shanghai's peak temperature near 22–23°C on June 14, 2026.** Official forecasts from sources including timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate a high around 24°C (76°F) under overcast skies and showers, consistent with the East Asian summer monsoon (meiyu/plum rain) season that brings widespread cloudiness and reduced insolation. These conditions limit surface heating despite seasonal norms closer to 27–28°C, with high humidity, light southerly winds, and precipitation further moderating daytime maxima. Trader consensus heavily favors 22°C (83.5% implied probability) and 23°C (16.5%), reflecting recent model runs and observational trends showing temperatures tracking the cooler side of guidance. Upcoming official daily maximum reports from the China Meteorological Administration will resolve the market, with any late-day clearing potentially allowing a brief push toward 23°C but unlikely to exceed it given the entrenched moisture and cloud deck. Historical June data shows similar suppressed highs during active monsoon periods.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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