Recent official forecasts from the BBC, timeanddate, and European ensemble models indicate a maximum of 16°C in Warsaw on June 14 under thundery showers, moderate westerly winds, and persistent cloud cover that limits solar heating. This setup advects cooler maritime air and suppresses daytime warming well below the June climatological average of 22–24°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the 43.5% implied probability for 16°C and strong support for 15°C and 17°C, aligns closely with this short-range guidance. Key near-term catalysts include updated model runs and official observations from the Polish meteorological service, which could shift probabilities if clearing or stronger insolation develops before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Warsaw on June 14?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on June 14?
16°C 44%
15°C 34%
17°C 18%
14°C 7.1%
$26,732 Wol.
$26,732 Wol.
Jun 14, 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
7%
15°C
34%
16°C
44%
17°C
18%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 44%
15°C 34%
17°C 18%
14°C 7.1%
$26,732 Wol.
$26,732 Wol.
Jun 14, 2026
10°C or below
$364 Wol.
<1%
11°C
$467 Wol.
<1%
12°C
$948 Wol.
<1%
13°C
$2,155 Wol.
<1%
14°C
$4,140 Wol.
7%
15°C
$2,272 Wol.
34%
16°C
$3,674 Wol.
44%
17°C
$3,653 Wol.
18%
18°C
$2,847 Wol.
1%
19°C
$1,279 Wol.
1%
20°C or higher
$4,946 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the BBC, timeanddate, and European ensemble models indicate a maximum of 16°C in Warsaw on June 14 under thundery showers, moderate westerly winds, and persistent cloud cover that limits solar heating. This setup advects cooler maritime air and suppresses daytime warming well below the June climatological average of 22–24°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the 43.5% implied probability for 16°C and strong support for 15°C and 17°C, aligns closely with this short-range guidance. Key near-term catalysts include updated model runs and official observations from the Polish meteorological service, which could shift probabilities if clearing or stronger insolation develops before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Wolumen
$26,732Data zakończenia
Jun 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the BBC, timeanddate, and European ensemble models indicate a maximum of 16°C in Warsaw on June 14 under thundery showers, moderate westerly winds, and persistent cloud cover that limits solar heating. This setup advects cooler maritime air and suppresses daytime warming well below the June climatological average of 22–24°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the 43.5% implied probability for 16°C and strong support for 15°C and 17°C, aligns closely with this short-range guidance. Key near-term catalysts include updated model runs and official observations from the Polish meteorological service, which could shift probabilities if clearing or stronger insolation develops before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$26,732Data zakończenia
Jun 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the BBC, timeanddate, and European ensemble models indicate a maximum of 16°C in Warsaw on June 14 under thundery showers, moderate westerly winds, and persistent cloud cover that limits solar heating. This setup advects cooler maritime air and suppresses daytime warming well below the June climatological average of 22–24°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the 43.5% implied probability for 16°C and strong support for 15°C and 17°C, aligns closely with this short-range guidance. Key near-term catalysts include updated model runs and official observations from the Polish meteorological service, which could shift probabilities if clearing or stronger insolation develops before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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