Recent forecasts from the Met Office and BBC Weather point to a daytime maximum near 17°C in Warsaw on June 15, with thundery showers, drizzle, and moderate westerly winds expected to limit afternoon heating through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS shows tight clustering around this range, where the difference between 17°C and 18°C hinges on the exact timing and coverage of convective activity or breaks in cloud deck that allow greater solar insolation. Historical June averages near 22°C provide context, but current synoptic patterns favor cooler conditions, keeping 19°C or higher at low implied odds while the close 37.5%–31.5% split between 18°C and 17°C reflects model uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and precipitation onset. Traders monitor the next model runs for shifts in these variables.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Warsaw on June 15?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on June 15?
18°C 38%
17°C 32%
19°C 13%
16°C 7%
NOWE
NOWE
Jun 15, 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
7%
17°C
32%
18°C
38%
19°C
13%
20°C or higher
5%
18°C 38%
17°C 32%
19°C 13%
16°C 7%
NOWE
NOWE
Jun 15, 2026
10°C or below
$410 Wol.
<1%
11°C
$28 Wol.
<1%
12°C
$22 Wol.
<1%
13°C
$18 Wol.
<1%
14°C
$365 Wol.
1%
15°C
$472 Wol.
2%
16°C
$765 Wol.
7%
17°C
$262 Wol.
32%
18°C
$506 Wol.
38%
19°C
$177 Wol.
13%
20°C or higher
$349 Wol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Met Office and BBC Weather point to a daytime maximum near 17°C in Warsaw on June 15, with thundery showers, drizzle, and moderate westerly winds expected to limit afternoon heating through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS shows tight clustering around this range, where the difference between 17°C and 18°C hinges on the exact timing and coverage of convective activity or breaks in cloud deck that allow greater solar insolation. Historical June averages near 22°C provide context, but current synoptic patterns favor cooler conditions, keeping 19°C or higher at low implied odds while the close 37.5%–31.5% split between 18°C and 17°C reflects model uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and precipitation onset. Traders monitor the next model runs for shifts in these variables.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Wolumen
$3,267Data zakończenia
Jun 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Met Office and BBC Weather point to a daytime maximum near 17°C in Warsaw on June 15, with thundery showers, drizzle, and moderate westerly winds expected to limit afternoon heating through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS shows tight clustering around this range, where the difference between 17°C and 18°C hinges on the exact timing and coverage of convective activity or breaks in cloud deck that allow greater solar insolation. Historical June averages near 22°C provide context, but current synoptic patterns favor cooler conditions, keeping 19°C or higher at low implied odds while the close 37.5%–31.5% split between 18°C and 17°C reflects model uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and precipitation onset. Traders monitor the next model runs for shifts in these variables.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$3,267Data zakończenia
Jun 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Met Office and BBC Weather point to a daytime maximum near 17°C in Warsaw on June 15, with thundery showers, drizzle, and moderate westerly winds expected to limit afternoon heating through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS shows tight clustering around this range, where the difference between 17°C and 18°C hinges on the exact timing and coverage of convective activity or breaks in cloud deck that allow greater solar insolation. Historical June averages near 22°C provide context, but current synoptic patterns favor cooler conditions, keeping 19°C or higher at low implied odds while the close 37.5%–31.5% split between 18°C and 17°C reflects model uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and precipitation onset. Traders monitor the next model runs for shifts in these variables.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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