Recent forecasts from meteorological sources indicate Shanghai's minimum temperature on June 15 will likely fall between 21–22°C, aligning with the market's dominant trader consensus at those levels. This reflects the onset of the plum rain (Meiyu) season, characterized by persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity, and light precipitation that reduces radiative cooling overnight and narrows the diurnal temperature range. Current atmospheric patterns show stable southerly flow with no strong cold fronts or clear-sky conditions that could drive sharper drops, consistent with climatological averages for mid-June lows near 21–22°C. Model guidance remains tightly clustered, though minor shifts in timing of any showers could nudge the exact minimum by 1°C.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Shanghai on June 15?
22°C 64%
21°C 36.6%
20°C 4.6%
19°C <1%
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
5%
21°C
27%
22°C
57%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 64%
21°C 36.6%
20°C 4.6%
19°C <1%
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
5%
21°C
27%
22°C
57%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 13, 2026, 12:33 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological sources indicate Shanghai's minimum temperature on June 15 will likely fall between 21–22°C, aligning with the market's dominant trader consensus at those levels. This reflects the onset of the plum rain (Meiyu) season, characterized by persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity, and light precipitation that reduces radiative cooling overnight and narrows the diurnal temperature range. Current atmospheric patterns show stable southerly flow with no strong cold fronts or clear-sky conditions that could drive sharper drops, consistent with climatological averages for mid-June lows near 21–22°C. Model guidance remains tightly clustered, though minor shifts in timing of any showers could nudge the exact minimum by 1°C.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania