Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a low-pressure trough and monsoon influence will bring heavy showers and squally thunderstorms to Hong Kong on June 14, limiting the daily maximum to the 26–30°C range under extensive cloud cover and high humidity. Seasonal outlooks project above-normal June temperatures overall due to long-term warming trends, yet the specific synoptic pattern today favors the 29°C and 30°C outcomes that dominate market-implied odds. Model consensus and climatological analogs support trader emphasis on this narrow band, as persistent rain makes extremes above 31°C unlikely while brief clear spells could reach 30°C. Updated HKO briefings and radar trends through the afternoon represent the next key data points that could shift resolution probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Hong Kong on June 14?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 14?
29°C 59%
30°C 36%
31°C 4.1%
32°C <1%
$135,639 Wol.
$135,639 Wol.
Jun 14, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
59%
30°C
36%
31°C
4%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
29°C 59%
30°C 36%
31°C 4.1%
32°C <1%
$135,639 Wol.
$135,639 Wol.
Jun 14, 2026
23°C or below
$618 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$603 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$1,398 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$8,160 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$30,871 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$29,012 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$23,947 Wol.
59%
30°C
$11,847 Wol.
36%
31°C
$11,326 Wol.
4%
32°C
$11,091 Wol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$7,690 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a low-pressure trough and monsoon influence will bring heavy showers and squally thunderstorms to Hong Kong on June 14, limiting the daily maximum to the 26–30°C range under extensive cloud cover and high humidity. Seasonal outlooks project above-normal June temperatures overall due to long-term warming trends, yet the specific synoptic pattern today favors the 29°C and 30°C outcomes that dominate market-implied odds. Model consensus and climatological analogs support trader emphasis on this narrow band, as persistent rain makes extremes above 31°C unlikely while brief clear spells could reach 30°C. Updated HKO briefings and radar trends through the afternoon represent the next key data points that could shift resolution probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Wolumen
$135,639Data zakończenia
Jun 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a low-pressure trough and monsoon influence will bring heavy showers and squally thunderstorms to Hong Kong on June 14, limiting the daily maximum to the 26–30°C range under extensive cloud cover and high humidity. Seasonal outlooks project above-normal June temperatures overall due to long-term warming trends, yet the specific synoptic pattern today favors the 29°C and 30°C outcomes that dominate market-implied odds. Model consensus and climatological analogs support trader emphasis on this narrow band, as persistent rain makes extremes above 31°C unlikely while brief clear spells could reach 30°C. Updated HKO briefings and radar trends through the afternoon represent the next key data points that could shift resolution probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$135,639Data zakończenia
Jun 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a low-pressure trough and monsoon influence will bring heavy showers and squally thunderstorms to Hong Kong on June 14, limiting the daily maximum to the 26–30°C range under extensive cloud cover and high humidity. Seasonal outlooks project above-normal June temperatures overall due to long-term warming trends, yet the specific synoptic pattern today favors the 29°C and 30°C outcomes that dominate market-implied odds. Model consensus and climatological analogs support trader emphasis on this narrow band, as persistent rain makes extremes above 31°C unlikely while brief clear spells could reach 30°C. Updated HKO briefings and radar trends through the afternoon represent the next key data points that could shift resolution probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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