**Trader consensus has converged on 30°C as the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory on June 12, 2026, producing market-implied odds of 99.9% for that outcome.** This near-certainty stems from official post-event readings across the observatory’s network, which showed peak values falling squarely in the 30°C bin (with individual stations reporting maxima around 30–31°C). June climatology for Hong Kong—hot, humid subtropical conditions with typical daytime highs near 30–31°C—provided the baseline expectation, but the decisive driver was the verified observational data released after the date. Realistic challenges to this resolution remain limited to rare post-processing revisions or measurement discrepancies at the reference station, both of which have low historical precedent for this market.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Hong Kong on June 12?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 12?
30°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$220,007 Wol.
$220,007 Wol.
Jun 12, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
100%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
30°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$220,007 Wol.
$220,007 Wol.
Jun 12, 2026
23°C or below
$2,740 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$806 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$1,838 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$9,169 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$20,011 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$29,030 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$25,571 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$45,010 Wol.
100%
31°C
$35,994 Wol.
<1%
32°C
$28,535 Wol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$21,303 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus has converged on 30°C as the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory on June 12, 2026, producing market-implied odds of 99.9% for that outcome.**
This near-certainty stems from official post-event readings across the observatory’s network, which showed peak values falling squarely in the 30°C bin (with individual stations reporting maxima around 30–31°C). June climatology for Hong Kong—hot, humid subtropical conditions with typical daytime highs near 30–31°C—provided the baseline expectation, but the decisive driver was the verified observational data released after the date.
Realistic challenges to this resolution remain limited to rare post-processing revisions or measurement discrepancies at the reference station, both of which have low historical precedent for this market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Wolumen
$220,007Data zakończenia
Jun 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus has converged on 30°C as the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory on June 12, 2026, producing market-implied odds of 99.9% for that outcome.**
This near-certainty stems from official post-event readings across the observatory’s network, which showed peak values falling squarely in the 30°C bin (with individual stations reporting maxima around 30–31°C). June climatology for Hong Kong—hot, humid subtropical conditions with typical daytime highs near 30–31°C—provided the baseline expectation, but the decisive driver was the verified observational data released after the date.
Realistic challenges to this resolution remain limited to rare post-processing revisions or measurement discrepancies at the reference station, both of which have low historical precedent for this market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$220,007Data zakończenia
Jun 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus has converged on 30°C as the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory on June 12, 2026, producing market-implied odds of 99.9% for that outcome.** This near-certainty stems from official post-event readings across the observatory’s network, which showed peak values falling squarely in the 30°C bin (with individual stations reporting maxima around 30–31°C). June climatology for Hong Kong—hot, humid subtropical conditions with typical daytime highs near 30–31°C—provided the baseline expectation, but the decisive driver was the verified observational data released after the date. Realistic challenges to this resolution remain limited to rare post-processing revisions or measurement discrepancies at the reference station, both of which have low historical precedent for this market.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania