**Forecast models show Paris highs on June 16 centering near 29–31°C under building high pressure and mostly sunny conditions after earlier unsettled weather.** Multiple sources, including Météo France guidance and extended outlooks from BBC Weather and timeanddate.com, indicate a warming trend with daytime maxima around 29°C (light cloud, gentle south-westerly flow) to 31°C under clearer skies, consistent with the market’s near-even split between those two outcomes. Ensemble differences arise mainly from subtle variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and exact steering of warmer air masses, which can shift the daily peak by 1–2°C. Climatologically, mid-June averages hover near 23–24°C, so the current setup represents a notable positive anomaly driven by persistent anticyclonic conditions. With resolution only 48 hours away, traders are weighting the latest model runs that show limited diurnal cloud development and minimal precipitation risk, keeping 29°C and 30°C as the dominant probabilities while assigning lower odds to cooler or significantly hotter thresholds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Paris on June 16?
Highest temperature in Paris on June 16?
30°C 36%
29°C 33%
28°C 15%
31°C 13%
NOWE
NOWE
Jun 16, 2026
25°C or below
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
4%
28°C
15%
29°C
33%
30°C
36%
31°C
13%
32°C
4%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
1%
30°C 36%
29°C 33%
28°C 15%
31°C 13%
NOWE
NOWE
Jun 16, 2026
25°C or below
$24 Wol.
1%
26°C
$23 Wol.
2%
27°C
$258 Wol.
4%
28°C
$95 Wol.
15%
29°C
$283 Wol.
33%
30°C
$150 Wol.
36%
31°C
$379 Wol.
13%
32°C
$102 Wol.
4%
33°C
$271 Wol.
1%
34°C
$64 Wol.
1%
35°C or higher
$57 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models show Paris highs on June 16 centering near 29–31°C under building high pressure and mostly sunny conditions after earlier unsettled weather.**
Multiple sources, including Météo France guidance and extended outlooks from BBC Weather and timeanddate.com, indicate a warming trend with daytime maxima around 29°C (light cloud, gentle south-westerly flow) to 31°C under clearer skies, consistent with the market’s near-even split between those two outcomes. Ensemble differences arise mainly from subtle variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and exact steering of warmer air masses, which can shift the daily peak by 1–2°C.
Climatologically, mid-June averages hover near 23–24°C, so the current setup represents a notable positive anomaly driven by persistent anticyclonic conditions. With resolution only 48 hours away, traders are weighting the latest model runs that show limited diurnal cloud development and minimal precipitation risk, keeping 29°C and 30°C as the dominant probabilities while assigning lower odds to cooler or significantly hotter thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
Wolumen
$1,431Data zakończenia
Jun 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models show Paris highs on June 16 centering near 29–31°C under building high pressure and mostly sunny conditions after earlier unsettled weather.**
Multiple sources, including Météo France guidance and extended outlooks from BBC Weather and timeanddate.com, indicate a warming trend with daytime maxima around 29°C (light cloud, gentle south-westerly flow) to 31°C under clearer skies, consistent with the market’s near-even split between those two outcomes. Ensemble differences arise mainly from subtle variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and exact steering of warmer air masses, which can shift the daily peak by 1–2°C.
Climatologically, mid-June averages hover near 23–24°C, so the current setup represents a notable positive anomaly driven by persistent anticyclonic conditions. With resolution only 48 hours away, traders are weighting the latest model runs that show limited diurnal cloud development and minimal precipitation risk, keeping 29°C and 30°C as the dominant probabilities while assigning lower odds to cooler or significantly hotter thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$1,431Data zakończenia
Jun 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models show Paris highs on June 16 centering near 29–31°C under building high pressure and mostly sunny conditions after earlier unsettled weather.** Multiple sources, including Météo France guidance and extended outlooks from BBC Weather and timeanddate.com, indicate a warming trend with daytime maxima around 29°C (light cloud, gentle south-westerly flow) to 31°C under clearer skies, consistent with the market’s near-even split between those two outcomes. Ensemble differences arise mainly from subtle variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and exact steering of warmer air masses, which can shift the daily peak by 1–2°C. Climatologically, mid-June averages hover near 23–24°C, so the current setup represents a notable positive anomaly driven by persistent anticyclonic conditions. With resolution only 48 hours away, traders are weighting the latest model runs that show limited diurnal cloud development and minimal precipitation risk, keeping 29°C and 30°C as the dominant probabilities while assigning lower odds to cooler or significantly hotter thresholds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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