Recent Météo-France and ensemble forecasts position a 28–29 °C maximum as the most probable outcome for Paris on June 15 under strengthening high pressure, predominantly clear skies, and light easterly flow that promotes strong daytime insolation and limited boundary-layer mixing. These values sit 4–6 °C above the June climatological average of roughly 22–24 °C, reflecting the warm air mass advected from the south. Model consensus remains tight around these thresholds, with only modest spread tied to minor variations in cloud cover or wind speed; any increase in low-level moisture or stronger northerly breeze could cap readings near 27 °C, while sustained clear conditions favor the upper end of the 28–29 °C range. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will provide the final guidance ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Paris on June 15?
28°C 44%
29°C 32%
27°C 17%
26°C 6%
$19,151 Wol.
$19,151 Wol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
6%
27°C
17%
28°C
44%
29°C
32%
30°C
5%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 44%
29°C 32%
27°C 17%
26°C 6%
$19,151 Wol.
$19,151 Wol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
6%
27°C
17%
28°C
44%
29°C
32%
30°C
5%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 13, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Météo-France and ensemble forecasts position a 28–29 °C maximum as the most probable outcome for Paris on June 15 under strengthening high pressure, predominantly clear skies, and light easterly flow that promotes strong daytime insolation and limited boundary-layer mixing. These values sit 4–6 °C above the June climatological average of roughly 22–24 °C, reflecting the warm air mass advected from the south. Model consensus remains tight around these thresholds, with only modest spread tied to minor variations in cloud cover or wind speed; any increase in low-level moisture or stronger northerly breeze could cap readings near 27 °C, while sustained clear conditions favor the upper end of the 28–29 °C range. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will provide the final guidance ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania