**Forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and other models point to a highest temperature on June 15 of 28–30°C under an active southwest monsoon and trough of low pressure.** This pattern is driving unsettled conditions with showers or thunderstorms expected, which typically limit daytime heating and keep maximums near or slightly below seasonal averages. Current model consensus and official outlooks show daily highs in the 26–30°C range, with rain reducing solar heating and preventing stronger warming. Historical June climatology in Hong Kong features average highs near 30–31°C, but the imminent wet weather introduces downward pressure on temperatures. Traders have concentrated probability on 28–30°C because these align directly with the latest short-range guidance, while higher outcomes like 31°C+ remain low-probability given the suppressed instability. Updated forecasts and any changes in monsoon strength will be the key near-term drivers for this market.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Hong Kong on June 15?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 15?
29°C 43%
28°C 28%
30°C 23%
31°C 5.9%
NOWE
$36,898 Wol.
NOWE
$36,898 Wol.
Jun 15, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
28%
29°C
43%
30°C
23%
31°C
6%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
<1%
29°C 43%
28°C 28%
30°C 23%
31°C 5.9%
NOWE
$36,898 Wol.
NOWE
$36,898 Wol.
Jun 15, 2026
23°C or below
$934 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$298 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$2,040 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$2,926 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$17,576 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$3,571 Wol.
28%
29°C
$3,647 Wol.
43%
30°C
$3,018 Wol.
23%
31°C
$2,541 Wol.
6%
32°C
$1,426 Wol.
1%
33°C or higher
$1,130 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and other models point to a highest temperature on June 15 of 28–30°C under an active southwest monsoon and trough of low pressure.** This pattern is driving unsettled conditions with showers or thunderstorms expected, which typically limit daytime heating and keep maximums near or slightly below seasonal averages.
Current model consensus and official outlooks show daily highs in the 26–30°C range, with rain reducing solar heating and preventing stronger warming. Historical June climatology in Hong Kong features average highs near 30–31°C, but the imminent wet weather introduces downward pressure on temperatures. Traders have concentrated probability on 28–30°C because these align directly with the latest short-range guidance, while higher outcomes like 31°C+ remain low-probability given the suppressed instability. Updated forecasts and any changes in monsoon strength will be the key near-term drivers for this market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Wolumen
$36,898Data zakończenia
Jun 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and other models point to a highest temperature on June 15 of 28–30°C under an active southwest monsoon and trough of low pressure.** This pattern is driving unsettled conditions with showers or thunderstorms expected, which typically limit daytime heating and keep maximums near or slightly below seasonal averages.
Current model consensus and official outlooks show daily highs in the 26–30°C range, with rain reducing solar heating and preventing stronger warming. Historical June climatology in Hong Kong features average highs near 30–31°C, but the imminent wet weather introduces downward pressure on temperatures. Traders have concentrated probability on 28–30°C because these align directly with the latest short-range guidance, while higher outcomes like 31°C+ remain low-probability given the suppressed instability. Updated forecasts and any changes in monsoon strength will be the key near-term drivers for this market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$36,898Data zakończenia
Jun 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and other models point to a highest temperature on June 15 of 28–30°C under an active southwest monsoon and trough of low pressure.** This pattern is driving unsettled conditions with showers or thunderstorms expected, which typically limit daytime heating and keep maximums near or slightly below seasonal averages. Current model consensus and official outlooks show daily highs in the 26–30°C range, with rain reducing solar heating and preventing stronger warming. Historical June climatology in Hong Kong features average highs near 30–31°C, but the imminent wet weather introduces downward pressure on temperatures. Traders have concentrated probability on 28–30°C because these align directly with the latest short-range guidance, while higher outcomes like 31°C+ remain low-probability given the suppressed instability. Updated forecasts and any changes in monsoon strength will be the key near-term drivers for this market.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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