Recent official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a rainy Monday in Tokyo with a maximum of 20°C under persistent cloud cover, limiting daytime heating compared to seasonal norms near 26°C. This aligns with early June patterns during the onset of the baiu rainy season, where high precipitation probabilities (70-80% morning hours) and reduced insolation suppress peak temperatures. Trader consensus favoring 21-22°C reflects model uncertainty around exact rainfall timing, cloud thickness, and any late-day clearing that could allow brief warming, alongside historical variability of ±1-2°C in similar synoptic setups. Updated model runs and JMA briefings on June 14-15 will likely refine these narrow spreads.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Tokyo on June 15?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on June 15?
21°C 36%
22°C 34%
23°C 16%
20°C 14%
NOWE
$16,109 Wol.
NOWE
$16,109 Wol.
Jun 15, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
3%
20°C
14%
21°C
36%
22°C
34%
23°C
16%
24°C
3%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
21°C 36%
22°C 34%
23°C 16%
20°C 14%
NOWE
$16,109 Wol.
NOWE
$16,109 Wol.
Jun 15, 2026
17°C or below
$2,798 Wol.
<1%
18°C
$939 Wol.
1%
19°C
$1,538 Wol.
3%
20°C
$917 Wol.
14%
21°C
$959 Wol.
36%
22°C
$972 Wol.
34%
23°C
$689 Wol.
16%
24°C
$2,131 Wol.
3%
25°C
$1,409 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$1,978 Wol.
<1%
27°C or higher
$2,927 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a rainy Monday in Tokyo with a maximum of 20°C under persistent cloud cover, limiting daytime heating compared to seasonal norms near 26°C. This aligns with early June patterns during the onset of the baiu rainy season, where high precipitation probabilities (70-80% morning hours) and reduced insolation suppress peak temperatures. Trader consensus favoring 21-22°C reflects model uncertainty around exact rainfall timing, cloud thickness, and any late-day clearing that could allow brief warming, alongside historical variability of ±1-2°C in similar synoptic setups. Updated model runs and JMA briefings on June 14-15 will likely refine these narrow spreads.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Wolumen
$16,109Data zakończenia
Jun 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a rainy Monday in Tokyo with a maximum of 20°C under persistent cloud cover, limiting daytime heating compared to seasonal norms near 26°C. This aligns with early June patterns during the onset of the baiu rainy season, where high precipitation probabilities (70-80% morning hours) and reduced insolation suppress peak temperatures. Trader consensus favoring 21-22°C reflects model uncertainty around exact rainfall timing, cloud thickness, and any late-day clearing that could allow brief warming, alongside historical variability of ±1-2°C in similar synoptic setups. Updated model runs and JMA briefings on June 14-15 will likely refine these narrow spreads.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$16,109Data zakończenia
Jun 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a rainy Monday in Tokyo with a maximum of 20°C under persistent cloud cover, limiting daytime heating compared to seasonal norms near 26°C. This aligns with early June patterns during the onset of the baiu rainy season, where high precipitation probabilities (70-80% morning hours) and reduced insolation suppress peak temperatures. Trader consensus favoring 21-22°C reflects model uncertainty around exact rainfall timing, cloud thickness, and any late-day clearing that could allow brief warming, alongside historical variability of ±1-2°C in similar synoptic setups. Updated model runs and JMA briefings on June 14-15 will likely refine these narrow spreads.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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