**Official Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo on June 15 indicate a minimum temperature near 18°C under cloudy skies with showers, aligning with the market's leading outcomes clustered at 17–19°C.** These conditions stem from the ongoing Tsuyu rainy season, where persistent cloud cover and precipitation limit nighttime radiative cooling and keep overnight lows closer to the seasonal average of 18–21°C. Broader 2026 summer outlooks note above-normal temperatures overall due to a strengthened Pacific high, but near-term model consensus and current synoptic patterns favor moderate minima without strong cold-air advection. Recent JMA updates and ensemble guidance reinforce this range, though minor shifts in storm timing or clearing could adjust the exact low. Traders weigh these official data releases heavily, as resolution hinges on verified observations rather than long-range projections.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Tokyo on June 15?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on June 15?
18°C 40%
19°C 31%
17°C 21%
16°C 4.3%
NOWE
NOWE
Jun 15, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
4%
17°C
21%
18°C
40%
19°C
28%
20°C
4%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C or higher
<1%
18°C 40%
19°C 31%
17°C 21%
16°C 4.3%
NOWE
NOWE
Jun 15, 2026
13°C or below
$37 Wol.
<1%
14°C
$155 Wol.
1%
15°C
$97 Wol.
1%
16°C
$17 Wol.
4%
17°C
$29 Wol.
21%
18°C
$36 Wol.
40%
19°C
$153 Wol.
28%
20°C
$37 Wol.
4%
21°C
$69 Wol.
1%
22°C
$22 Wol.
1%
23°C or higher
$27 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo on June 15 indicate a minimum temperature near 18°C under cloudy skies with showers, aligning with the market's leading outcomes clustered at 17–19°C.** These conditions stem from the ongoing Tsuyu rainy season, where persistent cloud cover and precipitation limit nighttime radiative cooling and keep overnight lows closer to the seasonal average of 18–21°C. Broader 2026 summer outlooks note above-normal temperatures overall due to a strengthened Pacific high, but near-term model consensus and current synoptic patterns favor moderate minima without strong cold-air advection. Recent JMA updates and ensemble guidance reinforce this range, though minor shifts in storm timing or clearing could adjust the exact low. Traders weigh these official data releases heavily, as resolution hinges on verified observations rather than long-range projections.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 13, 2026, 12:34 AM ET
Wolumen
$545Data zakończenia
Jun 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 13, 2026, 12:34 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo on June 15 indicate a minimum temperature near 18°C under cloudy skies with showers, aligning with the market's leading outcomes clustered at 17–19°C.** These conditions stem from the ongoing Tsuyu rainy season, where persistent cloud cover and precipitation limit nighttime radiative cooling and keep overnight lows closer to the seasonal average of 18–21°C. Broader 2026 summer outlooks note above-normal temperatures overall due to a strengthened Pacific high, but near-term model consensus and current synoptic patterns favor moderate minima without strong cold-air advection. Recent JMA updates and ensemble guidance reinforce this range, though minor shifts in storm timing or clearing could adjust the exact low. Traders weigh these official data releases heavily, as resolution hinges on verified observations rather than long-range projections.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$545Data zakończenia
Jun 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 13, 2026, 12:34 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo on June 15 indicate a minimum temperature near 18°C under cloudy skies with showers, aligning with the market's leading outcomes clustered at 17–19°C.** These conditions stem from the ongoing Tsuyu rainy season, where persistent cloud cover and precipitation limit nighttime radiative cooling and keep overnight lows closer to the seasonal average of 18–21°C. Broader 2026 summer outlooks note above-normal temperatures overall due to a strengthened Pacific high, but near-term model consensus and current synoptic patterns favor moderate minima without strong cold-air advection. Recent JMA updates and ensemble guidance reinforce this range, though minor shifts in storm timing or clearing could adjust the exact low. Traders weigh these official data releases heavily, as resolution hinges on verified observations rather than long-range projections.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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