Latest meteorological forecasts from regional models position a daily maximum of 16°C as the consensus outcome for Cape Town on June 15, aligning with the market's leading 49.5% implied probability. Winter climatology in the region supports highs typically between 15–17°C, with current steering patterns and limited moisture favoring stable conditions near this range rather than warmer intrusions or cooler advection. Model runs show tight clustering around 15–16°C, though minor shifts in wind direction or cloud cover could tip the result to 15°C or 17°C. Resolution hinges on official South African Weather Service observations, with final data expected shortly after the period ends.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Cape Town on June 15?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on June 15?
16°C 50%
17°C 24%
15°C 14%
18°C 4.1%
NOWE
NOWE
Jun 15, 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
3%
15°C
14%
16°C
50%
17°C
24%
18°C
4%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
16°C 50%
17°C 24%
15°C 14%
18°C 4.1%
NOWE
NOWE
Jun 15, 2026
11°C or below
$56 Wol.
<1%
12°C
$52 Wol.
<1%
13°C
$177 Wol.
1%
14°C
$403 Wol.
3%
15°C
$148 Wol.
14%
16°C
$271 Wol.
50%
17°C
$126 Wol.
24%
18°C
$418 Wol.
4%
19°C
$81 Wol.
1%
20°C
$402 Wol.
<1%
21°C or higher
$681 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest meteorological forecasts from regional models position a daily maximum of 16°C as the consensus outcome for Cape Town on June 15, aligning with the market's leading 49.5% implied probability. Winter climatology in the region supports highs typically between 15–17°C, with current steering patterns and limited moisture favoring stable conditions near this range rather than warmer intrusions or cooler advection. Model runs show tight clustering around 15–16°C, though minor shifts in wind direction or cloud cover could tip the result to 15°C or 17°C. Resolution hinges on official South African Weather Service observations, with final data expected shortly after the period ends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 13, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Wolumen
$2,813Data zakończenia
Jun 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 13, 2026, 1:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest meteorological forecasts from regional models position a daily maximum of 16°C as the consensus outcome for Cape Town on June 15, aligning with the market's leading 49.5% implied probability. Winter climatology in the region supports highs typically between 15–17°C, with current steering patterns and limited moisture favoring stable conditions near this range rather than warmer intrusions or cooler advection. Model runs show tight clustering around 15–16°C, though minor shifts in wind direction or cloud cover could tip the result to 15°C or 17°C. Resolution hinges on official South African Weather Service observations, with final data expected shortly after the period ends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$2,813Data zakończenia
Jun 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 13, 2026, 1:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest meteorological forecasts from regional models position a daily maximum of 16°C as the consensus outcome for Cape Town on June 15, aligning with the market's leading 49.5% implied probability. Winter climatology in the region supports highs typically between 15–17°C, with current steering patterns and limited moisture favoring stable conditions near this range rather than warmer intrusions or cooler advection. Model runs show tight clustering around 15–16°C, though minor shifts in wind direction or cloud cover could tip the result to 15°C or 17°C. Resolution hinges on official South African Weather Service observations, with final data expected shortly after the period ends.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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