Recent National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco point to a high near 72°F on June 15 under sunny conditions with moderate west-southwest onshore flow, aligning with trader emphasis on the 70-71°F and 68-69°F bins. Persistent marine layer influences and June climatology—featuring typical highs of 66-70°F—limit extremes, while recent Bay Area warming and reduced coastal stratus have supported slightly above-average readings. Model consensus highlights afternoon clearing as the key variable differentiating the tightly contested leading outcomes, with any delayed fog dissipation or stronger sea breeze potentially capping the maximum in the upper 60s. Official observations from downtown or airport stations will resolve the market, underscoring how small shifts in wind and cloud cover drive the current narrow probability spread.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in San Francisco on June 15?
70-71°F 27%
68-69°F 24%
72-73°F 14%
74-75°F 13%
65°F or below
4%
66-67°F
5%
68-69°F
24%
70-71°F
27%
72-73°F
14%
74-75°F
13%
76-77°F
8%
78-79°F
3%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F or higher
<1%
70-71°F 27%
68-69°F 24%
72-73°F 14%
74-75°F 13%
65°F or below
4%
66-67°F
5%
68-69°F
24%
70-71°F
27%
72-73°F
14%
74-75°F
13%
76-77°F
8%
78-79°F
3%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 13, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco point to a high near 72°F on June 15 under sunny conditions with moderate west-southwest onshore flow, aligning with trader emphasis on the 70-71°F and 68-69°F bins. Persistent marine layer influences and June climatology—featuring typical highs of 66-70°F—limit extremes, while recent Bay Area warming and reduced coastal stratus have supported slightly above-average readings. Model consensus highlights afternoon clearing as the key variable differentiating the tightly contested leading outcomes, with any delayed fog dissipation or stronger sea breeze potentially capping the maximum in the upper 60s. Official observations from downtown or airport stations will resolve the market, underscoring how small shifts in wind and cloud cover drive the current narrow probability spread.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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