Recent short-range ensemble forecasts from global models show tight clustering around 13–15°C for Buenos Aires’ June 15 maximum, with the spread driven by uncertain timing of a weak frontal passage and variable northerly flow off the Río de la Plata estuary. Onshore advection of milder maritime air can add 1–2°C under high pressure, while clearer skies and light winds favor radiational cooling toward the lower end of the range. June climatology places average daily highs near 15°C, so the market-implied 37 % probability on 14°C and 28 % on 15°C reflects this narrow but decisive forecast uncertainty ahead of tomorrow’s official observations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on June 15?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on June 15?
14°C 37%
15°C 25%
13°C 19%
12°C 7.8%
NOWE
NOWE
Jun 15, 2026
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
2%
12°C
8%
13°C
19%
14°C
37%
15°C
25%
16°C
6%
17°C or higher
1%
14°C 37%
15°C 25%
13°C 19%
12°C 7.8%
NOWE
NOWE
Jun 15, 2026
7°C or below
$15 Wol.
<1%
8°C
$15 Wol.
<1%
9°C
$10 Wol.
<1%
10°C
$50 Wol.
<1%
11°C
$88 Wol.
2%
12°C
$174 Wol.
8%
13°C
$324 Wol.
19%
14°C
$61 Wol.
37%
15°C
$455 Wol.
25%
16°C
$238 Wol.
6%
17°C or higher
$30 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range ensemble forecasts from global models show tight clustering around 13–15°C for Buenos Aires’ June 15 maximum, with the spread driven by uncertain timing of a weak frontal passage and variable northerly flow off the Río de la Plata estuary. Onshore advection of milder maritime air can add 1–2°C under high pressure, while clearer skies and light winds favor radiational cooling toward the lower end of the range. June climatology places average daily highs near 15°C, so the market-implied 37 % probability on 14°C and 28 % on 15°C reflects this narrow but decisive forecast uncertainty ahead of tomorrow’s official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Wolumen
$1,172Data zakończenia
Jun 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range ensemble forecasts from global models show tight clustering around 13–15°C for Buenos Aires’ June 15 maximum, with the spread driven by uncertain timing of a weak frontal passage and variable northerly flow off the Río de la Plata estuary. Onshore advection of milder maritime air can add 1–2°C under high pressure, while clearer skies and light winds favor radiational cooling toward the lower end of the range. June climatology places average daily highs near 15°C, so the market-implied 37 % probability on 14°C and 28 % on 15°C reflects this narrow but decisive forecast uncertainty ahead of tomorrow’s official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$1,172Data zakończenia
Jun 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range ensemble forecasts from global models show tight clustering around 13–15°C for Buenos Aires’ June 15 maximum, with the spread driven by uncertain timing of a weak frontal passage and variable northerly flow off the Río de la Plata estuary. Onshore advection of milder maritime air can add 1–2°C under high pressure, while clearer skies and light winds favor radiational cooling toward the lower end of the range. June climatology places average daily highs near 15°C, so the market-implied 37 % probability on 14°C and 28 % on 15°C reflects this narrow but decisive forecast uncertainty ahead of tomorrow’s official observations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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