A cooler-than-average air mass and increased cloud cover with scattered thunderstorms are capping highs in Dallas for June 15, 2026, well below the mid-June climatological normal of 88–93°F. Recent model runs from NOAA and private forecasters converge on a daily maximum near 80–84°F, driven by northeasterly flow behind a weak front that enhances moisture and limits insolation. This setup explains the market’s tight clustering around 80–83°F (combined ~47.5% implied probability) versus lower odds for 84–85°F or warmer bins. Resolution hinges on the official NWS Dallas/Fort Worth daily climate report maximum, with lingering uncertainty from timing of any convective heating or boundary-layer mixing that could nudge the peak a degree or two higher.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Dallas on June 15?
Highest temperature in Dallas on June 15?
82-83°F 27%
80-81°F 25%
84-85°F 15%
78-79°F 12%
NOWE
NOWE
Jun 15, 2026
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
12%
80-81°F
25%
82-83°F
27%
84-85°F
15%
86-87°F
6%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
1%
92°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 27%
80-81°F 25%
84-85°F 15%
78-79°F 12%
NOWE
NOWE
Jun 15, 2026
73°F or below
$5 Wol.
<1%
74-75°F
$11 Wol.
3%
76-77°F
$2 Wol.
3%
78-79°F
$129 Wol.
12%
80-81°F
$83 Wol.
25%
82-83°F
$536 Wol.
27%
84-85°F
$391 Wol.
15%
86-87°F
$37 Wol.
6%
88-89°F
$85 Wol.
1%
90-91°F
$85 Wol.
1%
92°F or higher
$10 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A cooler-than-average air mass and increased cloud cover with scattered thunderstorms are capping highs in Dallas for June 15, 2026, well below the mid-June climatological normal of 88–93°F. Recent model runs from NOAA and private forecasters converge on a daily maximum near 80–84°F, driven by northeasterly flow behind a weak front that enhances moisture and limits insolation. This setup explains the market’s tight clustering around 80–83°F (combined ~47.5% implied probability) versus lower odds for 84–85°F or warmer bins. Resolution hinges on the official NWS Dallas/Fort Worth daily climate report maximum, with lingering uncertainty from timing of any convective heating or boundary-layer mixing that could nudge the peak a degree or two higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Wolumen
$1,107Data zakończenia
Jun 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A cooler-than-average air mass and increased cloud cover with scattered thunderstorms are capping highs in Dallas for June 15, 2026, well below the mid-June climatological normal of 88–93°F. Recent model runs from NOAA and private forecasters converge on a daily maximum near 80–84°F, driven by northeasterly flow behind a weak front that enhances moisture and limits insolation. This setup explains the market’s tight clustering around 80–83°F (combined ~47.5% implied probability) versus lower odds for 84–85°F or warmer bins. Resolution hinges on the official NWS Dallas/Fort Worth daily climate report maximum, with lingering uncertainty from timing of any convective heating or boundary-layer mixing that could nudge the peak a degree or two higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$1,107Data zakończenia
Jun 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...A cooler-than-average air mass and increased cloud cover with scattered thunderstorms are capping highs in Dallas for June 15, 2026, well below the mid-June climatological normal of 88–93°F. Recent model runs from NOAA and private forecasters converge on a daily maximum near 80–84°F, driven by northeasterly flow behind a weak front that enhances moisture and limits insolation. This setup explains the market’s tight clustering around 80–83°F (combined ~47.5% implied probability) versus lower odds for 84–85°F or warmer bins. Resolution hinges on the official NWS Dallas/Fort Worth daily climate report maximum, with lingering uncertainty from timing of any convective heating or boundary-layer mixing that could nudge the peak a degree or two higher.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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