Forecast models from the National Weather Service indicate a strong upper-level ridge building over the Pacific Northwest, driving the market's highest implied probability toward a 90-91°F high in Seattle on June 15. Clear skies and downslope easterly flow are expected to enhance daytime heating beyond typical mid-June averages of 72-75°F, with ensemble guidance converging on peak readings near 89-92°F. Recent GFS and ECMWF runs show minimal cloud cover and light winds overnight, limiting radiational cooling and supporting the 42% probability on 90-91°F alongside 29.5% on 88-89°F. Traders are watching the next model update cycle for any shifts in ridge strength or marine air intrusion that could cap temperatures lower.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Seattle on June 15?
Highest temperature in Seattle on June 15?
90-91°F 41%
88-89°F 29%
86-87°F 13%
92-93°F 8.6%
NOWE
NOWE
Jun 15, 2026
83°F or below
2%
84-85°F
5%
86-87°F
13%
88-89°F
29%
90-91°F
41%
92-93°F
9%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
<1%
102°F or higher
<1%
90-91°F 41%
88-89°F 29%
86-87°F 13%
92-93°F 8.6%
NOWE
NOWE
Jun 15, 2026
83°F or below
$494 Wol.
2%
84-85°F
$144 Wol.
5%
86-87°F
$331 Wol.
13%
88-89°F
$137 Wol.
29%
90-91°F
$187 Wol.
41%
92-93°F
$308 Wol.
9%
94-95°F
$124 Wol.
2%
96-97°F
$273 Wol.
1%
98-99°F
$134 Wol.
<1%
100-101°F
$194 Wol.
<1%
102°F or higher
$196 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service indicate a strong upper-level ridge building over the Pacific Northwest, driving the market's highest implied probability toward a 90-91°F high in Seattle on June 15. Clear skies and downslope easterly flow are expected to enhance daytime heating beyond typical mid-June averages of 72-75°F, with ensemble guidance converging on peak readings near 89-92°F. Recent GFS and ECMWF runs show minimal cloud cover and light winds overnight, limiting radiational cooling and supporting the 42% probability on 90-91°F alongside 29.5% on 88-89°F. Traders are watching the next model update cycle for any shifts in ridge strength or marine air intrusion that could cap temperatures lower.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Wolumen
$2,511Data zakończenia
Jun 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service indicate a strong upper-level ridge building over the Pacific Northwest, driving the market's highest implied probability toward a 90-91°F high in Seattle on June 15. Clear skies and downslope easterly flow are expected to enhance daytime heating beyond typical mid-June averages of 72-75°F, with ensemble guidance converging on peak readings near 89-92°F. Recent GFS and ECMWF runs show minimal cloud cover and light winds overnight, limiting radiational cooling and supporting the 42% probability on 90-91°F alongside 29.5% on 88-89°F. Traders are watching the next model update cycle for any shifts in ridge strength or marine air intrusion that could cap temperatures lower.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$2,511Data zakończenia
Jun 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the National Weather Service indicate a strong upper-level ridge building over the Pacific Northwest, driving the market's highest implied probability toward a 90-91°F high in Seattle on June 15. Clear skies and downslope easterly flow are expected to enhance daytime heating beyond typical mid-June averages of 72-75°F, with ensemble guidance converging on peak readings near 89-92°F. Recent GFS and ECMWF runs show minimal cloud cover and light winds overnight, limiting radiational cooling and supporting the 42% probability on 90-91°F alongside 29.5% on 88-89°F. Traders are watching the next model update cycle for any shifts in ridge strength or marine air intrusion that could cap temperatures lower.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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