Current forecast models from the National Weather Service indicate mid-70s highs for Chicago on June 15 under a surface high-pressure ridge with mostly clear skies and light southerly flow, supporting the market's tight clustering around 74–77°F. These conditions favor modest daytime warming without strong advection of warmer air masses or significant cloud cover that could suppress temperatures. Minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture and frontal timing accounts for the secondary probability on 78–79°F, while cooler outcomes remain low-probability given seasonal solar insolation and lack of northerly flow. Updated model runs tonight will refine the exact peak before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Chicago on June 15?
Highest temperature in Chicago on June 15?
76-77°F 40%
74-75°F 35%
78-79°F 16%
72-73°F 8%
NOWE
NOWE
Jun 15, 2026
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
8%
74-75°F
35%
76-77°F
40%
78-79°F
16%
80-81°F
4%
82-83°F
1%
84°F or higher
1%
76-77°F 40%
74-75°F 35%
78-79°F 16%
72-73°F 8%
NOWE
NOWE
Jun 15, 2026
65°F or below
$223 Wol.
<1%
66-67°F
$269 Wol.
<1%
68-69°F
$140 Wol.
<1%
70-71°F
$773 Wol.
2%
72-73°F
$750 Wol.
8%
74-75°F
$518 Wol.
35%
76-77°F
$318 Wol.
40%
78-79°F
$296 Wol.
16%
80-81°F
$206 Wol.
4%
82-83°F
$629 Wol.
1%
84°F or higher
$775 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from the National Weather Service indicate mid-70s highs for Chicago on June 15 under a surface high-pressure ridge with mostly clear skies and light southerly flow, supporting the market's tight clustering around 74–77°F. These conditions favor modest daytime warming without strong advection of warmer air masses or significant cloud cover that could suppress temperatures. Minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture and frontal timing accounts for the secondary probability on 78–79°F, while cooler outcomes remain low-probability given seasonal solar insolation and lack of northerly flow. Updated model runs tonight will refine the exact peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Wolumen
$4,842Data zakończenia
Jun 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from the National Weather Service indicate mid-70s highs for Chicago on June 15 under a surface high-pressure ridge with mostly clear skies and light southerly flow, supporting the market's tight clustering around 74–77°F. These conditions favor modest daytime warming without strong advection of warmer air masses or significant cloud cover that could suppress temperatures. Minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture and frontal timing accounts for the secondary probability on 78–79°F, while cooler outcomes remain low-probability given seasonal solar insolation and lack of northerly flow. Updated model runs tonight will refine the exact peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$4,842Data zakończenia
Jun 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from the National Weather Service indicate mid-70s highs for Chicago on June 15 under a surface high-pressure ridge with mostly clear skies and light southerly flow, supporting the market's tight clustering around 74–77°F. These conditions favor modest daytime warming without strong advection of warmer air masses or significant cloud cover that could suppress temperatures. Minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture and frontal timing accounts for the secondary probability on 78–79°F, while cooler outcomes remain low-probability given seasonal solar insolation and lack of northerly flow. Updated model runs tonight will refine the exact peak before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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