Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and local models point to scattered thunderstorms and increased cloud cover developing over Austin on June 15, limiting daytime heating and supporting highs most likely in the low-to-mid 80s. This represents a modest departure from June climatology, where average highs reach 93°F amid stronger subtropical ridging and clearer skies. Key variables include Gulf moisture influx promoting convective inhibition of peak temperatures, southeast winds near 5-10 mph, and model consensus on afternoon instability that could shave several degrees off insolation-driven warming. With market-implied probabilities clustered tightly around 82-85°F, traders are pricing the balance between these moderating effects and any late-day clearing that might allow a brief push toward 86°F. Updated NWS guidance and short-range model runs through tonight will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Austin on June 15?
Highest temperature in Austin on June 15?
82-83°F 36%
84-85°F 30%
80-81°F 12%
86-87°F 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Jun 15, 2026
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
5%
80-81°F
12%
82-83°F
36%
84-85°F
30%
86-87°F
6%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
1%
92°F or higher
1%
82-83°F 36%
84-85°F 30%
80-81°F 12%
86-87°F 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Jun 15, 2026
73°F or below
$84 Wol.
<1%
74-75°F
$249 Wol.
1%
76-77°F
$197 Wol.
2%
78-79°F
$291 Wol.
5%
80-81°F
$512 Wol.
12%
82-83°F
$662 Wol.
36%
84-85°F
$676 Wol.
30%
86-87°F
$1,257 Wol.
6%
88-89°F
$736 Wol.
3%
90-91°F
$2,475 Wol.
1%
92°F or higher
$2,484 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and local models point to scattered thunderstorms and increased cloud cover developing over Austin on June 15, limiting daytime heating and supporting highs most likely in the low-to-mid 80s. This represents a modest departure from June climatology, where average highs reach 93°F amid stronger subtropical ridging and clearer skies. Key variables include Gulf moisture influx promoting convective inhibition of peak temperatures, southeast winds near 5-10 mph, and model consensus on afternoon instability that could shave several degrees off insolation-driven warming. With market-implied probabilities clustered tightly around 82-85°F, traders are pricing the balance between these moderating effects and any late-day clearing that might allow a brief push toward 86°F. Updated NWS guidance and short-range model runs through tonight will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Wolumen
$9,624Data zakończenia
Jun 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and local models point to scattered thunderstorms and increased cloud cover developing over Austin on June 15, limiting daytime heating and supporting highs most likely in the low-to-mid 80s. This represents a modest departure from June climatology, where average highs reach 93°F amid stronger subtropical ridging and clearer skies. Key variables include Gulf moisture influx promoting convective inhibition of peak temperatures, southeast winds near 5-10 mph, and model consensus on afternoon instability that could shave several degrees off insolation-driven warming. With market-implied probabilities clustered tightly around 82-85°F, traders are pricing the balance between these moderating effects and any late-day clearing that might allow a brief push toward 86°F. Updated NWS guidance and short-range model runs through tonight will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$9,624Data zakończenia
Jun 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and local models point to scattered thunderstorms and increased cloud cover developing over Austin on June 15, limiting daytime heating and supporting highs most likely in the low-to-mid 80s. This represents a modest departure from June climatology, where average highs reach 93°F amid stronger subtropical ridging and clearer skies. Key variables include Gulf moisture influx promoting convective inhibition of peak temperatures, southeast winds near 5-10 mph, and model consensus on afternoon instability that could shave several degrees off insolation-driven warming. With market-implied probabilities clustered tightly around 82-85°F, traders are pricing the balance between these moderating effects and any late-day clearing that might allow a brief push toward 86°F. Updated NWS guidance and short-range model runs through tonight will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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