**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Houston on June 15, 2026, centers on mid-80s readings, with the 86-87°F bin leading at 37% implied probability and 84-85°F at 26%.** This positioning stems from official and model forecasts showing daytime maxima suppressed below the typical early-June normal of ~90-91°F (based on 1991-2020 climatology for Houston Intercontinental Airport). Increased tropical moisture and a higher likelihood of showers or thunderstorms—driven by atmospheric patterns bringing Gulf humidity—are the primary factors limiting solar heating and convective mixing, keeping highs in the mid-80s range according to sources like world-weather.info (projecting 86°F) and some private model outputs around 84°F. Recent data shifts, including NWS discussions of elevated rainfall threats and partly cloudy to overcast conditions on June 15, have reinforced this cooler-than-climatology outlook. While ensemble guidance shows some spread, the skin-in-the-game consensus in the market reflects high confidence in these moderating influences over hotter scenarios, consistent with the rapid evolution of short-range forecasts ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Houston on June 15?
Highest temperature in Houston on June 15?
86-87°F 38%
84-85°F 26%
88-89°F 16%
90-91°F 8%
NOWE
NOWE
Jun 15, 2026
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
7%
84-85°F
26%
86-87°F
38%
88-89°F
16%
90-91°F
8%
92-93°F
3%
94°F or higher
1%
86-87°F 38%
84-85°F 26%
88-89°F 16%
90-91°F 8%
NOWE
NOWE
Jun 15, 2026
75°F or below
$21 Wol.
<1%
76-77°F
$17 Wol.
<1%
78-79°F
$426 Wol.
1%
80-81°F
$247 Wol.
1%
82-83°F
$110 Wol.
7%
84-85°F
$81 Wol.
26%
86-87°F
$183 Wol.
38%
88-89°F
$397 Wol.
16%
90-91°F
$761 Wol.
8%
92-93°F
$327 Wol.
3%
94°F or higher
$543 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Houston on June 15, 2026, centers on mid-80s readings, with the 86-87°F bin leading at 37% implied probability and 84-85°F at 26%.** This positioning stems from official and model forecasts showing daytime maxima suppressed below the typical early-June normal of ~90-91°F (based on 1991-2020 climatology for Houston Intercontinental Airport). Increased tropical moisture and a higher likelihood of showers or thunderstorms—driven by atmospheric patterns bringing Gulf humidity—are the primary factors limiting solar heating and convective mixing, keeping highs in the mid-80s range according to sources like world-weather.info (projecting 86°F) and some private model outputs around 84°F.
Recent data shifts, including NWS discussions of elevated rainfall threats and partly cloudy to overcast conditions on June 15, have reinforced this cooler-than-climatology outlook. While ensemble guidance shows some spread, the skin-in-the-game consensus in the market reflects high confidence in these moderating influences over hotter scenarios, consistent with the rapid evolution of short-range forecasts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 13, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
Wolumen
$3,061Data zakończenia
Jun 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 13, 2026, 9:05 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Houston on June 15, 2026, centers on mid-80s readings, with the 86-87°F bin leading at 37% implied probability and 84-85°F at 26%.** This positioning stems from official and model forecasts showing daytime maxima suppressed below the typical early-June normal of ~90-91°F (based on 1991-2020 climatology for Houston Intercontinental Airport). Increased tropical moisture and a higher likelihood of showers or thunderstorms—driven by atmospheric patterns bringing Gulf humidity—are the primary factors limiting solar heating and convective mixing, keeping highs in the mid-80s range according to sources like world-weather.info (projecting 86°F) and some private model outputs around 84°F.
Recent data shifts, including NWS discussions of elevated rainfall threats and partly cloudy to overcast conditions on June 15, have reinforced this cooler-than-climatology outlook. While ensemble guidance shows some spread, the skin-in-the-game consensus in the market reflects high confidence in these moderating influences over hotter scenarios, consistent with the rapid evolution of short-range forecasts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$3,061Data zakończenia
Jun 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 13, 2026, 9:05 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Houston on June 15, 2026, centers on mid-80s readings, with the 86-87°F bin leading at 37% implied probability and 84-85°F at 26%.** This positioning stems from official and model forecasts showing daytime maxima suppressed below the typical early-June normal of ~90-91°F (based on 1991-2020 climatology for Houston Intercontinental Airport). Increased tropical moisture and a higher likelihood of showers or thunderstorms—driven by atmospheric patterns bringing Gulf humidity—are the primary factors limiting solar heating and convective mixing, keeping highs in the mid-80s range according to sources like world-weather.info (projecting 86°F) and some private model outputs around 84°F. Recent data shifts, including NWS discussions of elevated rainfall threats and partly cloudy to overcast conditions on June 15, have reinforced this cooler-than-climatology outlook. While ensemble guidance shows some spread, the skin-in-the-game consensus in the market reflects high confidence in these moderating influences over hotter scenarios, consistent with the rapid evolution of short-range forecasts ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania