**Trader sentiment for Houston's June 14 peak temperature centers on the 88–93°F range, with 90–91°F holding a slim lead at 50.5% implied probability.** June climatology supports this positioning, as normal highs near 92°F (per NWS Houston/Galveston 1991–2020 normals) coincide with typical early-summer humidity and sea-breeze moderation. Current model guidance and observational updates show partly cloudy skies with scattered afternoon thunderstorms, which often suppress maximum temperatures by 2–4°F through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Recent NHC/NOAA outlooks and local analyses indicate steering patterns and moisture influx favoring highs clustering in the upper 80s to low 90s rather than sustained mid-90s readings. This aligns with the market's heavier weighting on 88–91°F outcomes while assigning low probability to extremes above 94°F or below 87°F.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Houston on June 14?
90-91°F 51%
88-89°F 29%
92-93°F 16%
94-95°F 2.6%
$14,830 Wol.
$14,830 Wol.
81°F or below
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
29%
90-91°F
51%
92-93°F
16%
94-95°F
3%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100°F or higher
<1%
90-91°F 51%
88-89°F 29%
92-93°F 16%
94-95°F 2.6%
$14,830 Wol.
$14,830 Wol.
81°F or below
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
29%
90-91°F
51%
92-93°F
16%
94-95°F
3%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 12, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Houston's June 14 peak temperature centers on the 88–93°F range, with 90–91°F holding a slim lead at 50.5% implied probability.** June climatology supports this positioning, as normal highs near 92°F (per NWS Houston/Galveston 1991–2020 normals) coincide with typical early-summer humidity and sea-breeze moderation. Current model guidance and observational updates show partly cloudy skies with scattered afternoon thunderstorms, which often suppress maximum temperatures by 2–4°F through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Recent NHC/NOAA outlooks and local analyses indicate steering patterns and moisture influx favoring highs clustering in the upper 80s to low 90s rather than sustained mid-90s readings. This aligns with the market's heavier weighting on 88–91°F outcomes while assigning low probability to extremes above 94°F or below 87°F.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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