**Marine layer persistence and onshore flow are anchoring the market-implied probabilities near 70–73°F for the highest temperature at Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX) on June 15, 2026.** National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model guidance indicate a strong marine inversion capping daytime heating, with patchy fog in the morning giving way to mostly sunny skies and southwest winds of 5–10 mph. This setup aligns with typical mid-June coastal climatology, when the cool, moist marine air mass frequently holds highs in the low-to-mid 70s rather than allowing greater inland-style warming. Recent observations from the prior day reinforce this pattern, with similar stratus and flow producing a 72–73°F outcome. Ensemble and deterministic model consensus shows limited potential for marine layer erosion or offshore wind shifts that could push readings into the mid-70s or higher. The tight clustering of probabilities around the 70–73°F range reflects traders’ assessment of stable atmospheric conditions through the 24–48 hour forecast window, with only modest upside risk if the inversion weakens more than expected before peak heating.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Los Angeles on June 15?
72-73°F 41%
70-71°F 35%
74-75°F 8%
68-69°F 5.1%
$10,279 Wol.
$10,279 Wol.
61°F or below
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
3%
68-69°F
5%
70-71°F
35%
72-73°F
41%
74-75°F
8%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
1%
80°F or higher
1%
72-73°F 41%
70-71°F 35%
74-75°F 8%
68-69°F 5.1%
$10,279 Wol.
$10,279 Wol.
61°F or below
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
3%
68-69°F
5%
70-71°F
35%
72-73°F
41%
74-75°F
8%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
1%
80°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 13, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Marine layer persistence and onshore flow are anchoring the market-implied probabilities near 70–73°F for the highest temperature at Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX) on June 15, 2026.** National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model guidance indicate a strong marine inversion capping daytime heating, with patchy fog in the morning giving way to mostly sunny skies and southwest winds of 5–10 mph. This setup aligns with typical mid-June coastal climatology, when the cool, moist marine air mass frequently holds highs in the low-to-mid 70s rather than allowing greater inland-style warming. Recent observations from the prior day reinforce this pattern, with similar stratus and flow producing a 72–73°F outcome. Ensemble and deterministic model consensus shows limited potential for marine layer erosion or offshore wind shifts that could push readings into the mid-70s or higher. The tight clustering of probabilities around the 70–73°F range reflects traders’ assessment of stable atmospheric conditions through the 24–48 hour forecast window, with only modest upside risk if the inversion weakens more than expected before peak heating.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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