Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a moderating air mass over the Northeast, with partly cloudy skies and light winds expected to limit radiative cooling and produce overnight lows in the mid-60s for New York City on June 15. This pattern underpins the market’s leading 34.5% implied probability on 66-67°F, followed by 17% on 64-65°F. Key variables include the precise timing of any cloud increases, dew-point trends, and the strength of the urban heat-island effect, all of which can shift minimum readings by 2–4°F. Shorter-range ensemble runs show modest spread, sustaining elevated uncertainty across the 60–70°F range ahead of final observational data.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in NYC on June 15?
Lowest temperature in NYC on June 15?
66-67°F 35%
68-69°F 14%
64-65°F 14%
62-63°F 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Jun 15, 2026
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
3%
62-63°F
6%
64-65°F
14%
66-67°F
35%
68-69°F
14%
70-71°F
5%
72-73°F
1%
74°F or higher
<1%
66-67°F 35%
68-69°F 14%
64-65°F 14%
62-63°F 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Jun 15, 2026
55°F or below
$189 Wol.
<1%
56-57°F
$1,267 Wol.
<1%
58-59°F
$1,325 Wol.
1%
60-61°F
$249 Wol.
3%
62-63°F
$110 Wol.
6%
64-65°F
$30 Wol.
14%
66-67°F
$37 Wol.
35%
68-69°F
$71 Wol.
14%
70-71°F
$28 Wol.
5%
72-73°F
$103 Wol.
1%
74°F or higher
$250 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a moderating air mass over the Northeast, with partly cloudy skies and light winds expected to limit radiative cooling and produce overnight lows in the mid-60s for New York City on June 15. This pattern underpins the market’s leading 34.5% implied probability on 66-67°F, followed by 17% on 64-65°F. Key variables include the precise timing of any cloud increases, dew-point trends, and the strength of the urban heat-island effect, all of which can shift minimum readings by 2–4°F. Shorter-range ensemble runs show modest spread, sustaining elevated uncertainty across the 60–70°F range ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 13, 2026, 9:31 PM ET
Wolumen
$3,657Data zakończenia
Jun 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 13, 2026, 9:31 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a moderating air mass over the Northeast, with partly cloudy skies and light winds expected to limit radiative cooling and produce overnight lows in the mid-60s for New York City on June 15. This pattern underpins the market’s leading 34.5% implied probability on 66-67°F, followed by 17% on 64-65°F. Key variables include the precise timing of any cloud increases, dew-point trends, and the strength of the urban heat-island effect, all of which can shift minimum readings by 2–4°F. Shorter-range ensemble runs show modest spread, sustaining elevated uncertainty across the 60–70°F range ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$3,657Data zakończenia
Jun 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 13, 2026, 9:31 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a moderating air mass over the Northeast, with partly cloudy skies and light winds expected to limit radiative cooling and produce overnight lows in the mid-60s for New York City on June 15. This pattern underpins the market’s leading 34.5% implied probability on 66-67°F, followed by 17% on 64-65°F. Key variables include the precise timing of any cloud increases, dew-point trends, and the strength of the urban heat-island effect, all of which can shift minimum readings by 2–4°F. Shorter-range ensemble runs show modest spread, sustaining elevated uncertainty across the 60–70°F range ahead of final observational data.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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