The marine layer's strength and persistence represent the dominant driver of trader positioning for San Francisco's June 14 high temperature, with 70–73°F bins holding the largest shares. Persistent onshore flow from the cool California Current sustains a strong temperature inversion that caps daytime warming along the immediate coast, often limiting highs to the upper 60s even as inland valleys exceed 80°F. Recent model runs show scattered morning stratus with variable afternoon clearing, creating tight uncertainty between 68–69°F and 72–73°F outcomes. Historical June climatology places the average high near 68–70°F, so any delay in marine-layer dissipation or lighter winds could cap readings at the lower end while stronger solar heating or offshore flow shifts probabilities toward 74°F or above.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in San Francisco on June 14?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on June 14?
72-73°F 37%
70-71°F 29%
74-75°F 16%
68-69°F 6%
NOWE
$12,914 Wol.
NOWE
$12,914 Wol.
Jun 14, 2026
67°F or below
2%
68-69°F
6%
70-71°F
29%
72-73°F
37%
74-75°F
16%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F or higher
<1%
72-73°F 37%
70-71°F 29%
74-75°F 16%
68-69°F 6%
NOWE
$12,914 Wol.
NOWE
$12,914 Wol.
Jun 14, 2026
67°F or below
$1,019 Wol.
2%
68-69°F
$764 Wol.
6%
70-71°F
$555 Wol.
29%
72-73°F
$860 Wol.
37%
74-75°F
$1,226 Wol.
16%
76-77°F
$1,322 Wol.
4%
78-79°F
$2,643 Wol.
1%
80-81°F
$2,151 Wol.
1%
82-83°F
$1,404 Wol.
<1%
84-85°F
$494 Wol.
<1%
86°F or higher
$475 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The marine layer's strength and persistence represent the dominant driver of trader positioning for San Francisco's June 14 high temperature, with 70–73°F bins holding the largest shares. Persistent onshore flow from the cool California Current sustains a strong temperature inversion that caps daytime warming along the immediate coast, often limiting highs to the upper 60s even as inland valleys exceed 80°F. Recent model runs show scattered morning stratus with variable afternoon clearing, creating tight uncertainty between 68–69°F and 72–73°F outcomes. Historical June climatology places the average high near 68–70°F, so any delay in marine-layer dissipation or lighter winds could cap readings at the lower end while stronger solar heating or offshore flow shifts probabilities toward 74°F or above.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 12, 2026, 9:08 PM ET
Wolumen
$12,914Data zakończenia
Jun 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 12, 2026, 9:08 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The marine layer's strength and persistence represent the dominant driver of trader positioning for San Francisco's June 14 high temperature, with 70–73°F bins holding the largest shares. Persistent onshore flow from the cool California Current sustains a strong temperature inversion that caps daytime warming along the immediate coast, often limiting highs to the upper 60s even as inland valleys exceed 80°F. Recent model runs show scattered morning stratus with variable afternoon clearing, creating tight uncertainty between 68–69°F and 72–73°F outcomes. Historical June climatology places the average high near 68–70°F, so any delay in marine-layer dissipation or lighter winds could cap readings at the lower end while stronger solar heating or offshore flow shifts probabilities toward 74°F or above.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$12,914Data zakończenia
Jun 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 12, 2026, 9:08 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...The marine layer's strength and persistence represent the dominant driver of trader positioning for San Francisco's June 14 high temperature, with 70–73°F bins holding the largest shares. Persistent onshore flow from the cool California Current sustains a strong temperature inversion that caps daytime warming along the immediate coast, often limiting highs to the upper 60s even as inland valleys exceed 80°F. Recent model runs show scattered morning stratus with variable afternoon clearing, creating tight uncertainty between 68–69°F and 72–73°F outcomes. Historical June climatology places the average high near 68–70°F, so any delay in marine-layer dissipation or lighter winds could cap readings at the lower end while stronger solar heating or offshore flow shifts probabilities toward 74°F or above.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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