**Trader consensus has coalesced around a 16°C maximum for Cape Town on June 14, 2026, at 97.5% implied probability.** This reflects convergence in official South African Weather Service guidance and major ensembles (GFS/ECMWF) projecting a daytime high near the mid-June climatological average of 16–17°C under typical winter conditions. Moderate Atlantic airflow, limited synoptic variability, and partly cloudy skies with isolated showers support a narrow temperature range without strong warming or cooling signals. Historical baselines and recent model runs show little deviation expected. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted berg wind event or clearer, sunnier conditions boosting insolation enough to push readings into the 17–18°C range before sunset.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Cape Town on June 14?
16°C 97.6%
17°C 2.9%
18°C <1%
19°C or higher <1%
$23,978 Wol.
$23,978 Wol.
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
98%
17°C
3%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
16°C 97.6%
17°C 2.9%
18°C <1%
19°C or higher <1%
$23,978 Wol.
$23,978 Wol.
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
98%
17°C
3%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 12, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus has coalesced around a 16°C maximum for Cape Town on June 14, 2026, at 97.5% implied probability.** This reflects convergence in official South African Weather Service guidance and major ensembles (GFS/ECMWF) projecting a daytime high near the mid-June climatological average of 16–17°C under typical winter conditions. Moderate Atlantic airflow, limited synoptic variability, and partly cloudy skies with isolated showers support a narrow temperature range without strong warming or cooling signals. Historical baselines and recent model runs show little deviation expected. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted berg wind event or clearer, sunnier conditions boosting insolation enough to push readings into the 17–18°C range before sunset.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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