Recent high-pressure systems over western Europe have promoted clear skies and enhanced nocturnal radiative cooling in Paris, anchoring the June 15 minimum near 12–13°C per the latest Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble guidance. Daytime highs approaching 23–25°C under light winds allow efficient heat loss overnight, though boundary-layer moisture and any Atlantic advection introduce modest uncertainty between those two bins. Climatological June lows typically range 11–16°C, and current model spreads assign comparable probability to 12°C versus 13°C outcomes, aligning with trader-implied odds near 27–30% each while leaving lower or higher thresholds at single-digit levels.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Paris on June 15?
Lowest temperature in Paris on June 15?
12°C 33%
13°C 22%
14°C 14%
11°C 13%
NOWE
NOWE
Jun 15, 2026
10°C or below
2%
11°C
13%
12°C
33%
13°C
29%
14°C
14%
15°C
5%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
12°C 33%
13°C 22%
14°C 14%
11°C 13%
NOWE
NOWE
Jun 15, 2026
10°C or below
$8 Wol.
2%
11°C
$51 Wol.
13%
12°C
$71 Wol.
33%
13°C
$58 Wol.
29%
14°C
$25 Wol.
14%
15°C
$28 Wol.
5%
16°C
$276 Wol.
1%
17°C
$556 Wol.
<1%
18°C
$201 Wol.
1%
19°C
$37 Wol.
<1%
20°C or higher
$260 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent high-pressure systems over western Europe have promoted clear skies and enhanced nocturnal radiative cooling in Paris, anchoring the June 15 minimum near 12–13°C per the latest Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble guidance. Daytime highs approaching 23–25°C under light winds allow efficient heat loss overnight, though boundary-layer moisture and any Atlantic advection introduce modest uncertainty between those two bins. Climatological June lows typically range 11–16°C, and current model spreads assign comparable probability to 12°C versus 13°C outcomes, aligning with trader-implied odds near 27–30% each while leaving lower or higher thresholds at single-digit levels.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 13, 2026, 12:34 AM ET
Wolumen
$1,302Data zakończenia
Jun 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 13, 2026, 12:34 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent high-pressure systems over western Europe have promoted clear skies and enhanced nocturnal radiative cooling in Paris, anchoring the June 15 minimum near 12–13°C per the latest Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble guidance. Daytime highs approaching 23–25°C under light winds allow efficient heat loss overnight, though boundary-layer moisture and any Atlantic advection introduce modest uncertainty between those two bins. Climatological June lows typically range 11–16°C, and current model spreads assign comparable probability to 12°C versus 13°C outcomes, aligning with trader-implied odds near 27–30% each while leaving lower or higher thresholds at single-digit levels.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$1,302Data zakończenia
Jun 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 13, 2026, 12:34 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent high-pressure systems over western Europe have promoted clear skies and enhanced nocturnal radiative cooling in Paris, anchoring the June 15 minimum near 12–13°C per the latest Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble guidance. Daytime highs approaching 23–25°C under light winds allow efficient heat loss overnight, though boundary-layer moisture and any Atlantic advection introduce modest uncertainty between those two bins. Climatological June lows typically range 11–16°C, and current model spreads assign comparable probability to 12°C versus 13°C outcomes, aligning with trader-implied odds near 27–30% each while leaving lower or higher thresholds at single-digit levels.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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