Strong model consensus from European forecast centers pins the Paris overnight low at 13°C on June 14, driving the 99.7% market-implied probability. Clear skies under a stable high-pressure ridge promote efficient radiative cooling after a mild daytime peak near 24–25°C, consistent with climatological June minima of 12–14°C. Ensemble spreads remain tight, with minimal divergence on wind or humidity that could alter boundary-layer cooling rates. Traders view this alignment across official guidance and historical analogs as near-certain for resolution. Only an unexpected increase in cloud cover or a late wind shift could realistically push the recorded minimum into adjacent bins.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Paris on June 14?
13°C 99.6%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
10°C <1%
$11,331 Wol.
$11,331 Wol.
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
100%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
13°C 99.6%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
10°C <1%
$11,331 Wol.
$11,331 Wol.
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
100%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Strong model consensus from European forecast centers pins the Paris overnight low at 13°C on June 14, driving the 99.7% market-implied probability. Clear skies under a stable high-pressure ridge promote efficient radiative cooling after a mild daytime peak near 24–25°C, consistent with climatological June minima of 12–14°C. Ensemble spreads remain tight, with minimal divergence on wind or humidity that could alter boundary-layer cooling rates. Traders view this alignment across official guidance and historical analogs as near-certain for resolution. Only an unexpected increase in cloud cover or a late wind shift could realistically push the recorded minimum into adjacent bins.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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