Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts for London indicate overnight minimums of 14–15°C on June 15, driven by mild south-easterly flow, moderate cloud, and limited radiative cooling under a stable boundary layer. Traders price 12–13°C highest because ensemble models show potential for clearer skies or lighter winds that enhance nocturnal heat loss, while London's urban heat island typically adds 1–2°C above rural baselines. Differentiation between 11°C and 14°C hinges on precise timing of any showers, humidity levels above 70 percent suppressing dew-point drops, and high-resolution runs resolving local advection. Upcoming 00Z and 12Z model cycles on June 14 will refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in London on June 15?
Lowest temperature in London on June 15?
12°C 40%
13°C 34%
11°C 11%
14°C 5%
NOWE
NOWE
Jun 15, 2026
8°C or below
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
11%
12°C
41%
13°C
34%
14°C
5%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
12°C 40%
13°C 34%
11°C 11%
14°C 5%
NOWE
NOWE
Jun 15, 2026
8°C or below
$111 Wol.
1%
9°C
$41 Wol.
1%
10°C
$55 Wol.
1%
11°C
$121 Wol.
11%
12°C
$119 Wol.
41%
13°C
$210 Wol.
34%
14°C
$174 Wol.
5%
15°C
$239 Wol.
<1%
16°C
$148 Wol.
<1%
17°C
$147 Wol.
<1%
18°C or higher
$154 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts for London indicate overnight minimums of 14–15°C on June 15, driven by mild south-easterly flow, moderate cloud, and limited radiative cooling under a stable boundary layer. Traders price 12–13°C highest because ensemble models show potential for clearer skies or lighter winds that enhance nocturnal heat loss, while London's urban heat island typically adds 1–2°C above rural baselines. Differentiation between 11°C and 14°C hinges on precise timing of any showers, humidity levels above 70 percent suppressing dew-point drops, and high-resolution runs resolving local advection. Upcoming 00Z and 12Z model cycles on June 14 will refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 13, 2026, 12:40 AM ET
Wolumen
$1,518Data zakończenia
Jun 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 13, 2026, 12:40 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts for London indicate overnight minimums of 14–15°C on June 15, driven by mild south-easterly flow, moderate cloud, and limited radiative cooling under a stable boundary layer. Traders price 12–13°C highest because ensemble models show potential for clearer skies or lighter winds that enhance nocturnal heat loss, while London's urban heat island typically adds 1–2°C above rural baselines. Differentiation between 11°C and 14°C hinges on precise timing of any showers, humidity levels above 70 percent suppressing dew-point drops, and high-resolution runs resolving local advection. Upcoming 00Z and 12Z model cycles on June 14 will refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$1,518Data zakończenia
Jun 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 13, 2026, 12:40 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts for London indicate overnight minimums of 14–15°C on June 15, driven by mild south-easterly flow, moderate cloud, and limited radiative cooling under a stable boundary layer. Traders price 12–13°C highest because ensemble models show potential for clearer skies or lighter winds that enhance nocturnal heat loss, while London's urban heat island typically adds 1–2°C above rural baselines. Differentiation between 11°C and 14°C hinges on precise timing of any showers, humidity levels above 70 percent suppressing dew-point drops, and high-resolution runs resolving local advection. Upcoming 00Z and 12Z model cycles on June 14 will refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania