**Trader consensus strongly favors a 13°C low for London on June 14, 2026, at 99.3% implied probability.** Official Met Office forecasts list a minimum nighttime temperature of 13°C for the period, consistent with model consensus from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and others showing near-average June conditions after May’s heatwave. Persistent light winds, moderate cloud cover, and typical post-frontal airflow have limited overnight radiative cooling, anchoring the diurnal minimum near this value. Historical climatology for mid-June supports overnight lows around 11–13°C in the London area under similar synoptic patterns. Scenarios that could realistically shift the outcome remain limited but include a sharper nocturnal temperature drop if skies clear more than expected or winds calm further, potentially pushing the reading to 12°C or below. Conversely, any late-day warming or measurement adjustments at official stations could nudge it higher, though current observations and short-range guidance show little divergence from the 13°C threshold.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in London on June 14?
Lowest temperature in London on June 14?
13°C 99.3%
12°C <1%
11°C <1%
7°C or below <1%
$15,020 Wol.
$15,020 Wol.
Jun 14, 2026
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
99%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
13°C 99.3%
12°C <1%
11°C <1%
7°C or below <1%
$15,020 Wol.
$15,020 Wol.
Jun 14, 2026
7°C or below
$790 Wol.
<1%
8°C
$733 Wol.
<1%
9°C
$539 Wol.
<1%
10°C
$743 Wol.
<1%
11°C
$1,886 Wol.
<1%
12°C
$1,224 Wol.
<1%
13°C
$4,787 Wol.
99%
14°C
$1,712 Wol.
<1%
15°C
$1,002 Wol.
<1%
16°C
$1,026 Wol.
<1%
17°C or higher
$585 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a 13°C low for London on June 14, 2026, at 99.3% implied probability.** Official Met Office forecasts list a minimum nighttime temperature of 13°C for the period, consistent with model consensus from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and others showing near-average June conditions after May’s heatwave. Persistent light winds, moderate cloud cover, and typical post-frontal airflow have limited overnight radiative cooling, anchoring the diurnal minimum near this value. Historical climatology for mid-June supports overnight lows around 11–13°C in the London area under similar synoptic patterns.
Scenarios that could realistically shift the outcome remain limited but include a sharper nocturnal temperature drop if skies clear more than expected or winds calm further, potentially pushing the reading to 12°C or below. Conversely, any late-day warming or measurement adjustments at official stations could nudge it higher, though current observations and short-range guidance show little divergence from the 13°C threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$15,020Data zakończenia
Jun 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a 13°C low for London on June 14, 2026, at 99.3% implied probability.** Official Met Office forecasts list a minimum nighttime temperature of 13°C for the period, consistent with model consensus from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and others showing near-average June conditions after May’s heatwave. Persistent light winds, moderate cloud cover, and typical post-frontal airflow have limited overnight radiative cooling, anchoring the diurnal minimum near this value. Historical climatology for mid-June supports overnight lows around 11–13°C in the London area under similar synoptic patterns.
Scenarios that could realistically shift the outcome remain limited but include a sharper nocturnal temperature drop if skies clear more than expected or winds calm further, potentially pushing the reading to 12°C or below. Conversely, any late-day warming or measurement adjustments at official stations could nudge it higher, though current observations and short-range guidance show little divergence from the 13°C threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$15,020Data zakończenia
Jun 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus strongly favors a 13°C low for London on June 14, 2026, at 99.3% implied probability.** Official Met Office forecasts list a minimum nighttime temperature of 13°C for the period, consistent with model consensus from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and others showing near-average June conditions after May’s heatwave. Persistent light winds, moderate cloud cover, and typical post-frontal airflow have limited overnight radiative cooling, anchoring the diurnal minimum near this value. Historical climatology for mid-June supports overnight lows around 11–13°C in the London area under similar synoptic patterns. Scenarios that could realistically shift the outcome remain limited but include a sharper nocturnal temperature drop if skies clear more than expected or winds calm further, potentially pushing the reading to 12°C or below. Conversely, any late-day warming or measurement adjustments at official stations could nudge it higher, though current observations and short-range guidance show little divergence from the 13°C threshold.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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