Latest numerical weather prediction models from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate a highest temperature in Helsinki on June 15 most likely between 16–18°C, aligning with the market's strongest implied probabilities at 17°C (36%) and 18°C (26%). A weak high-pressure ridge combined with moderating Baltic Sea surface temperatures and light southwesterly flow supports modest daytime warming without significant advection of warmer air masses. Recent model runs show limited spread, with ensemble means clustering near 17°C and minimal risk of exceeding 19°C or falling below 15°C under current steering patterns. Updated short-range guidance tomorrow morning will further refine these outcomes ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Helsinki on June 15?
17°C 37%
18°C 31%
16°C 15%
19°C 10%
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
3%
16°C
15%
17°C
37%
18°C
31%
19°C
10%
20°C
1%
21°C or higher
<1%
17°C 37%
18°C 31%
16°C 15%
19°C 10%
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
3%
16°C
15%
17°C
37%
18°C
31%
19°C
10%
20°C
1%
21°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 13, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate a highest temperature in Helsinki on June 15 most likely between 16–18°C, aligning with the market's strongest implied probabilities at 17°C (36%) and 18°C (26%). A weak high-pressure ridge combined with moderating Baltic Sea surface temperatures and light southwesterly flow supports modest daytime warming without significant advection of warmer air masses. Recent model runs show limited spread, with ensemble means clustering near 17°C and minimal risk of exceeding 19°C or falling below 15°C under current steering patterns. Updated short-range guidance tomorrow morning will further refine these outcomes ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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