Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to a 29–30°C peak in Guangzhou on June 15 because official forecasts from the Met Office and BBC indicate daytime maxima near 28–29°C under thundery showers, while longer-range models from AccuWeather and climate-data sources project 30–31°C. In Guangzhou’s subtropical monsoon regime, afternoon convection and cloud cover from the East Asian monsoon trough commonly suppress maximum temperatures by 1–3°C relative to clear-sky potential. Key differentiating variables include the exact timing of any sea-breeze front or rainfall onset, which can shift the daily high across the narrow 28–31°C band, and the limited model spread typical 24–48 hours ahead of a summer day. Resolution hinges on the official maximum recorded at the Guangzhou meteorological station.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Guangzhou on June 15?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on June 15?
30°C 31%
29°C 29%
28°C 21%
31°C 13%
NOWE
NOWE
Jun 15, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
6%
28°C
21%
29°C
29%
30°C
31%
31°C
13%
32°C or higher
7%
30°C 31%
29°C 29%
28°C 21%
31°C 13%
NOWE
NOWE
Jun 15, 2026
22°C or below
$766 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$150 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$679 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$610 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$1,169 Wol.
2%
27°C
$457 Wol.
6%
28°C
$401 Wol.
21%
29°C
$414 Wol.
29%
30°C
$207 Wol.
31%
31°C
$303 Wol.
13%
32°C or higher
$1,535 Wol.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to a 29–30°C peak in Guangzhou on June 15 because official forecasts from the Met Office and BBC indicate daytime maxima near 28–29°C under thundery showers, while longer-range models from AccuWeather and climate-data sources project 30–31°C. In Guangzhou’s subtropical monsoon regime, afternoon convection and cloud cover from the East Asian monsoon trough commonly suppress maximum temperatures by 1–3°C relative to clear-sky potential. Key differentiating variables include the exact timing of any sea-breeze front or rainfall onset, which can shift the daily high across the narrow 28–31°C band, and the limited model spread typical 24–48 hours ahead of a summer day. Resolution hinges on the official maximum recorded at the Guangzhou meteorological station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Wolumen
$6,656Data zakończenia
Jun 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to a 29–30°C peak in Guangzhou on June 15 because official forecasts from the Met Office and BBC indicate daytime maxima near 28–29°C under thundery showers, while longer-range models from AccuWeather and climate-data sources project 30–31°C. In Guangzhou’s subtropical monsoon regime, afternoon convection and cloud cover from the East Asian monsoon trough commonly suppress maximum temperatures by 1–3°C relative to clear-sky potential. Key differentiating variables include the exact timing of any sea-breeze front or rainfall onset, which can shift the daily high across the narrow 28–31°C band, and the limited model spread typical 24–48 hours ahead of a summer day. Resolution hinges on the official maximum recorded at the Guangzhou meteorological station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$6,656Data zakończenia
Jun 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to a 29–30°C peak in Guangzhou on June 15 because official forecasts from the Met Office and BBC indicate daytime maxima near 28–29°C under thundery showers, while longer-range models from AccuWeather and climate-data sources project 30–31°C. In Guangzhou’s subtropical monsoon regime, afternoon convection and cloud cover from the East Asian monsoon trough commonly suppress maximum temperatures by 1–3°C relative to clear-sky potential. Key differentiating variables include the exact timing of any sea-breeze front or rainfall onset, which can shift the daily high across the narrow 28–31°C band, and the limited model spread typical 24–48 hours ahead of a summer day. Resolution hinges on the official maximum recorded at the Guangzhou meteorological station.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania