Trader consensus around 28–29°C for Taipei’s peak temperature on June 15 reflects the latest ensemble guidance showing modest daytime heating under partly cloudy skies typical of early June. Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration forecasts indicate that afternoon convection and scattered showers could cap maxima near 28°C, while clearer intervals in some model runs allow brief warming to 29–30°C. The narrow spread in market-implied odds captures this sensitivity to boundary-layer moisture and wind patterns, with historical June averages near 29°C providing context. Overnight model updates from global and regional systems will further constrain the range before the daily high is recorded.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Taipei on June 15?
29°C 24.9%
28°C 21%
30°C 17%
27°C 13%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
6%
27°C
13%
28°C
21%
29°C
25%
30°C
17%
31°C or higher
13%
29°C 24.9%
28°C 21%
30°C 17%
27°C 13%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
6%
27°C
13%
28°C
21%
29°C
25%
30°C
17%
31°C or higher
13%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 13, 2026, 12:27 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus around 28–29°C for Taipei’s peak temperature on June 15 reflects the latest ensemble guidance showing modest daytime heating under partly cloudy skies typical of early June. Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration forecasts indicate that afternoon convection and scattered showers could cap maxima near 28°C, while clearer intervals in some model runs allow brief warming to 29–30°C. The narrow spread in market-implied odds captures this sensitivity to boundary-layer moisture and wind patterns, with historical June averages near 29°C providing context. Overnight model updates from global and regional systems will further constrain the range before the daily high is recorded.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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