Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts for western Uttar Pradesh highlight increased cloud cover and thundershowers on June 14, which are suppressing peak heating and positioning 37°C as the market leader at 45.5% implied probability. Prevailing pre-monsoon conditions, including moderate humidity and westerly flow, typically allow June maxima near 38–40°C, yet incoming moisture from eastern systems is expected to cap radiative warming and reduce the chance of 39°C or higher readings. Model consensus shows limited intensification potential today, aligning trader sentiment with the 36–38°C cluster that accounts for over 90% of probability mass. Updated observational data from the past 24 hours, including lower observed maxima on June 13, have reinforced this range ahead of final resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Lucknow on June 14?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on June 14?
37°C 49%
38°C 23%
36°C 22%
39°C 6%
NOWE
$15,029 Wol.
NOWE
$15,029 Wol.
Jun 14, 2026
32°C or below
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
2%
36°C
22%
37°C
49%
38°C
23%
39°C
6%
40°C
1%
41°C
<1%
42°C or higher
<1%
37°C 49%
38°C 23%
36°C 22%
39°C 6%
NOWE
$15,029 Wol.
NOWE
$15,029 Wol.
Jun 14, 2026
32°C or below
$565 Wol.
<1%
33°C
$1,364 Wol.
<1%
34°C
$1,771 Wol.
1%
35°C
$2,173 Wol.
2%
36°C
$2,018 Wol.
22%
37°C
$1,392 Wol.
49%
38°C
$822 Wol.
23%
39°C
$1,580 Wol.
6%
40°C
$1,904 Wol.
1%
41°C
$1,008 Wol.
<1%
42°C or higher
$931 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts for western Uttar Pradesh highlight increased cloud cover and thundershowers on June 14, which are suppressing peak heating and positioning 37°C as the market leader at 45.5% implied probability. Prevailing pre-monsoon conditions, including moderate humidity and westerly flow, typically allow June maxima near 38–40°C, yet incoming moisture from eastern systems is expected to cap radiative warming and reduce the chance of 39°C or higher readings. Model consensus shows limited intensification potential today, aligning trader sentiment with the 36–38°C cluster that accounts for over 90% of probability mass. Updated observational data from the past 24 hours, including lower observed maxima on June 13, have reinforced this range ahead of final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 12, 2026, 1:07 AM ET
Wolumen
$15,029Data zakończenia
Jun 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 12, 2026, 1:07 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts for western Uttar Pradesh highlight increased cloud cover and thundershowers on June 14, which are suppressing peak heating and positioning 37°C as the market leader at 45.5% implied probability. Prevailing pre-monsoon conditions, including moderate humidity and westerly flow, typically allow June maxima near 38–40°C, yet incoming moisture from eastern systems is expected to cap radiative warming and reduce the chance of 39°C or higher readings. Model consensus shows limited intensification potential today, aligning trader sentiment with the 36–38°C cluster that accounts for over 90% of probability mass. Updated observational data from the past 24 hours, including lower observed maxima on June 13, have reinforced this range ahead of final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$15,029Data zakończenia
Jun 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 12, 2026, 1:07 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts for western Uttar Pradesh highlight increased cloud cover and thundershowers on June 14, which are suppressing peak heating and positioning 37°C as the market leader at 45.5% implied probability. Prevailing pre-monsoon conditions, including moderate humidity and westerly flow, typically allow June maxima near 38–40°C, yet incoming moisture from eastern systems is expected to cap radiative warming and reduce the chance of 39°C or higher readings. Model consensus shows limited intensification potential today, aligning trader sentiment with the 36–38°C cluster that accounts for over 90% of probability mass. Updated observational data from the past 24 hours, including lower observed maxima on June 13, have reinforced this range ahead of final resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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