Official Hong Kong Observatory data recorded a minimum air temperature of 26 °C on 12 June 2026, aligning with the market’s near-certain outcome. June climatology for the region shows typical overnight lows of 25–27 °C under prevailing southerly flow and high humidity, with no significant cool-air intrusion or rainfall-driven cooling observed that night. Model consensus prior to the date had already placed the most probable minimum near this value, and post-event verification eliminated lower thresholds. Only an unreported station anomaly or later data revision—both historically rare for HKO surface observations—could alter the result.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Hong Kong on June 12?
26°C 99.5%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$42,760 Wol.
$42,760 Wol.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 99.5%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$42,760 Wol.
$42,760 Wol.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Hong Kong Observatory data recorded a minimum air temperature of 26 °C on 12 June 2026, aligning with the market’s near-certain outcome. June climatology for the region shows typical overnight lows of 25–27 °C under prevailing southerly flow and high humidity, with no significant cool-air intrusion or rainfall-driven cooling observed that night. Model consensus prior to the date had already placed the most probable minimum near this value, and post-event verification eliminated lower thresholds. Only an unreported station anomaly or later data revision—both historically rare for HKO surface observations—could alter the result.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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