Recent official forecasts from MetService and WeatherWatch converge on a high of 14°C for Wellington on June 18, with BBC guidance slightly warmer at 15°C under northerly flow. June climatology places average daily maxima near 13°C, and current model runs show limited spread due to stable high pressure and light winds, keeping temperatures within the narrow 13–15°C envelope. This consensus underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 14°C at 51% implied probability, while the 27% on 15°C reflects residual upside from any delayed frontal passage. Updated model guidance tomorrow morning will determine final resolution against official observations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Wellington on June 18?
Highest temperature in Wellington on June 18?
14°C 52%
15°C 28%
13°C 18%
16°C 2.9%
NOWE
NOWE
Jun 18, 2026
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
2%
13°C
18%
14°C
52%
15°C
28%
16°C
3%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
14°C 52%
15°C 28%
13°C 18%
16°C 2.9%
NOWE
NOWE
Jun 18, 2026
8°C or below
$300 Wol.
<1%
9°C
$222 Wol.
<1%
10°C
$264 Wol.
<1%
11°C
$403 Wol.
1%
12°C
$556 Wol.
2%
13°C
$1,407 Wol.
18%
14°C
$536 Wol.
52%
15°C
$2,389 Wol.
28%
16°C
$968 Wol.
3%
17°C
$594 Wol.
<1%
18°C or higher
$321 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from MetService and WeatherWatch converge on a high of 14°C for Wellington on June 18, with BBC guidance slightly warmer at 15°C under northerly flow. June climatology places average daily maxima near 13°C, and current model runs show limited spread due to stable high pressure and light winds, keeping temperatures within the narrow 13–15°C envelope. This consensus underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 14°C at 51% implied probability, while the 27% on 15°C reflects residual upside from any delayed frontal passage. Updated model guidance tomorrow morning will determine final resolution against official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 16, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Wolumen
$7,960Data zakończenia
Jun 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 16, 2026, 12:18 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from MetService and WeatherWatch converge on a high of 14°C for Wellington on June 18, with BBC guidance slightly warmer at 15°C under northerly flow. June climatology places average daily maxima near 13°C, and current model runs show limited spread due to stable high pressure and light winds, keeping temperatures within the narrow 13–15°C envelope. This consensus underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 14°C at 51% implied probability, while the 27% on 15°C reflects residual upside from any delayed frontal passage. Updated model guidance tomorrow morning will determine final resolution against official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$7,960Data zakończenia
Jun 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 16, 2026, 12:18 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from MetService and WeatherWatch converge on a high of 14°C for Wellington on June 18, with BBC guidance slightly warmer at 15°C under northerly flow. June climatology places average daily maxima near 13°C, and current model runs show limited spread due to stable high pressure and light winds, keeping temperatures within the narrow 13–15°C envelope. This consensus underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 14°C at 51% implied probability, while the 27% on 15°C reflects residual upside from any delayed frontal passage. Updated model guidance tomorrow morning will determine final resolution against official observations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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