Recent model consensus and seasonal outlooks point to above-average warmth across the Korean Peninsula, driven by elevated North Pacific sea-surface temperatures strengthening the subtropical high and boosting moisture transport. This setup favors daytime highs near or slightly above long-term June norms of ~28–30 °C in Seoul, tempered by increasing cloud cover and the early influence of the East Asian monsoon that can suppress peak readings. With resolution just two days away, short-term updates from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles will dominate shifts; scattered afternoon convection or thicker cloud decks could cap the maximum near 28–29 °C, while clearer skies would push values toward 31 °C or higher. Trader positioning reflects this narrow uncertainty band around typical early-summer variability rather than extreme heat.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Seoul on June 17?
28°C 36%
29°C 29%
30°C 18%
27°C 16%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
16%
28°C
36%
29°C
29%
30°C
18%
31°C or higher
3%
28°C 36%
29°C 29%
30°C 18%
27°C 16%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
16%
28°C
36%
29°C
29%
30°C
18%
31°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus and seasonal outlooks point to above-average warmth across the Korean Peninsula, driven by elevated North Pacific sea-surface temperatures strengthening the subtropical high and boosting moisture transport. This setup favors daytime highs near or slightly above long-term June norms of ~28–30 °C in Seoul, tempered by increasing cloud cover and the early influence of the East Asian monsoon that can suppress peak readings. With resolution just two days away, short-term updates from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles will dominate shifts; scattered afternoon convection or thicker cloud decks could cap the maximum near 28–29 °C, while clearer skies would push values toward 31 °C or higher. Trader positioning reflects this narrow uncertainty band around typical early-summer variability rather than extreme heat.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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